Sha Tin · 2021-11-13
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2021-11-13 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. BEST FOR YOU, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by Y S Tsui, won by N, with PLIKCLONE second and VIVA HUNTER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.6 favourite COUNTRY BOY finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | BEST FOR YOU Closed strongly B 1.22.52 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · Y S Tsui | C Y Ho | Y S Tsui | 13 | 16.0 | N |
| 2 | 11 | PLIKCLONE Closed strongly B A Hamelin · D J Hall | A Hamelin | D J Hall | 12 | 9.6 | N |
| 3 | 3 | VIVA HUNTER Closed strongly K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 5 | 9.3 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 12 | COUNTRY BOY H/P/TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 8 | 4.6 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 10 | MILLENNIUM FALCON Closed strongly H Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 11 | 4.6 | 1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | FLYING VICTORY Closed strongly H/TT M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 6 | 15.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 5 | STRATHMORETOO L Ferraris · A T Millard | L Ferraris | A T Millard | 1 | 47.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 8 | HEARTY WISH H/SR/TT C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 9 | 7.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 6 | FOXHUNTER WAY Led early H V Borges · K W Lui | V Borges | K W Lui | 3 | 38.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | SWIFT SPIRIT B2 M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 2 | 18.0 | 3 |
| 11 | 4 | COURAGEOUS KNIGHT B/TT J Moreira · C S Shum | J Moreira | C S Shum | 7 | 8.2 | 3-3/4 |
| 12 | 1 | EMBARKED H K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 14 | 85.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 13 | 7 | CHEERFUL LEADER B/XB H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 4 | 13.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 14 | 14 | LEGEND GOES B C Wong · P O'Sullivan | C Wong | P O'Sullivan | 10 | 156.0 | 6-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | COURAGEOUS KNIGHT | 23.7% | 4.23 | 11 |
| 2 | 10 | MILLENNIUM FALCON | 15.4% | 6.49 | 5 |
| 3 | 3 | VIVA HUNTER | 12.6% | 7.92 | 3 |
| 4 | 12 | COUNTRY BOY | 11.4% | 8.77 | 4 |
| 5 | 2 | FLYING VICTORY | 7.9% | 12.64 | 6 |
| 6 | 8 | HEARTY WISH | 7.0% | 14.21 | 8 |
| 7 | 9 | SWIFT SPIRIT | 5.5% | 18.05 | 10 |
| 8 | 11 | PLIKCLONE | 4.9% | 20.46 | 2 |
| 9 | 13 | BEST FOR YOU | 3.5% | 28.23 | 1 |
| 10 | 6 | FOXHUNTER WAY | 3.0% | 33.53 | 9 |
| 11 | 14 | LEGEND GOES | 1.6% | 61.31 | 14 |
| 12 | 5 | STRATHMORETOO | 1.3% | 78.51 | 7 |
| 13 | 7 | CHEERFUL LEADER | 1.2% | 81.41 | 13 |
| 14 | 1 | EMBARKED | 0.8% | 118.26 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
13 164
PLACE
3 31
11 32.5
13 49
QUINELLA
11,13 746.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,11 145.5
3,13 250
11,13 267.5
FORECAST
13,11 1,844
TIERCE
13,11,3 16,300
TRIO
3,11,13 2,046
FIRST 4
3,11,12,13 3,156
QUARTET
13,11,3,12 130,270
All pools (3 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 23.5
A2 —
A1 —
5TH DOUBLE
7/11 141.5
7/13 1,395
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,3,11/7,10,12/Any Combination 925,434