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Sha Tin · 2021-11-13

Race 6

Class 4 GOOD 1400m Course A+3 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.22.52
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 BEST FOR YOU Closed strongly B 1.22.52 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · Y S Tsui 13 16.0 N
2 0 PLIKCLONE Closed strongly B A Hamelin · D J Hall 12 9.6 N
3 0 VIVA HUNTER Closed strongly K C Leung · K L Man 5 9.3 1/2
4 0 COUNTRY BOY H/P/TT A Badel · J Size 8 4.6 1/2
5 0 MILLENNIUM FALCON Closed strongly H Z Purton · T P Yung 11 4.6 1/2
6 0 FLYING VICTORY Closed strongly H/TT M F Poon · F C Lor 6 15.0 1-3/4
7 0 STRATHMORETOO L Ferraris · A T Millard 1 47.0 2
8 0 HEARTY WISH H/SR/TT C L Chau · D J Whyte 9 7.7 2-1/2
9 0 FOXHUNTER WAY Led early H V Borges · K W Lui 3 38.0 2-3/4
10 0 SWIFT SPIRIT B2 M L Yeung · C W Chang 2 18.0 3
11 0 COURAGEOUS KNIGHT B/TT J Moreira · C S Shum 7 8.2 3-3/4
12 0 EMBARKED H K Teetan · C Fownes 14 85.0 3-3/4
13 0 CHEERFUL LEADER B/XB H Bentley · P F Yiu 4 13.0 5-1/2
14 0 LEGEND GOES B C Wong · P O'Sullivan 10 156.0 6-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2021-11-13 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. BEST FOR YOU, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by Y S Tsui, won by N, with PLIKCLONE second and VIVA HUNTER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.6 favourite COUNTRY BOY finished 4th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. BEST FOR YOU—2. PLIKCLONE+0.05L3. VIVA HUNTER+0.5L4. COUNTRY BOY+0.5L5. MILLENNIUM FALCON+0.5L6. FLYING VICTORY+1.75L7. STRATHMORETOO+2L8. HEARTY WISH+2.5L9. FOXHUNTER WAY+2.75L10. SWIFT SPIRIT+3L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick COURAGEOUS KNIGHT (23.7%) finished 11th — the winner BEST FOR YOU was rated #9. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 COURAGEOUS KNIGHT 23.7% 4.23 11
2 0 MILLENNIUM FALCON 15.4% 6.49 5
3 0 VIVA HUNTER 12.6% 7.92 3
4 0 COUNTRY BOY 11.4% 8.77 4
5 0 FLYING VICTORY 7.9% 12.64 6
6 0 HEARTY WISH 7.0% 14.21 8
7 0 SWIFT SPIRIT 5.5% 18.05 10
8 0 PLIKCLONE 4.9% 20.46 2
9 0 BEST FOR YOU 3.5% 28.23 1
10 0 FOXHUNTER WAY 3.0% 33.53 9
11 0 LEGEND GOES 1.6% 61.31 14
12 0 STRATHMORETOO 1.3% 78.51 7
13 0 CHEERFUL LEADER 1.2% 81.41 13
14 0 EMBARKED 0.8% 118.26 12
COURAGEOUS KNIGHTMILLENNIUM FALCONVIVA HUNTERCOUNTRY BOYFLYING VICTORYHEARTY WISHSWIFT SPIRITPLIKCLONEBEST FOR YOU — wonFOXHUNTER WAYLEGEND GOESSTRATHMORETOOCHEERFUL LEADEREMBARKED

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

13 164

PLACE

3 31

11 32.5

13 49

QUINELLA

11,13 746.5

QUINELLA PLACE

3,11 145.5

3,13 250

11,13 267.5

FORECAST

13,11 1,844

TIERCE

13,11,3 16,300

TRIO

3,11,13 2,046

FIRST 4

3,11,12,13 3,156

QUARTET

13,11,3,12 130,270

All pools (3 more)

3 PICK 1

A1 —

A3 23.5

A2 —

5TH DOUBLE

7/11 141.5

7/13 1,395

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

2,3,11/7,10,12/Any Combination 925,434