Sha Tin · 2021-11-13
Race 10
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2021-11-13 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. MASTER HERO, ridden by J Moreira and trained by A S Cruz, won by 3/4, with SAUVESTRE second and COBHFIELD third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.9 favourite SAUVESTRE finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | MASTER HERO Closed strongly XB/TT 1.21.64 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 12 | 4.6 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 10 | SAUVESTRE Closed strongly Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 2 | 2.9 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 2 | COBHFIELD Closed strongly SR1/XB1 K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 1 | 9.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 4 | PRIVATE ROCKET SR-/XB/CP2 H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 6 | 15.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 13 | SKY FOREVER Closed strongly B1/TT H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 14 | 20.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 1 | AMAZING ONE PLUS Closed strongly P/XB/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 5 | 11.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 8 | QUADRUPLE DOUBLE Led early TT M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 8 | 31.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 12 | PAKISTAN FRIEND Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 3 | 10.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 7 | SUPER DYNAMITE Closed strongly C Schofield · P F Yiu | C Schofield | P F Yiu | 10 | 127.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 14 | FEARLESS FIRE XB C Wong · D A Hayes | C Wong | D A Hayes | 4 | 25.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 11 | WIN WIN FIGHTER V Borges · K W Lui | V Borges | K W Lui | 13 | 168.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 3 | REGENCY BO BO B/TT K H Chan · C S Shum | K H Chan | C S Shum | 7 | 60.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 13 | 6 | THE HULK K C Leung · C Fownes | K C Leung | C Fownes | 9 | 35.0 | 12-3/4 |
| 14 | 5 | TEMPEST EXPRESS E/TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 11 | 8.7 | 16-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | SAUVESTRE | 31.9% | 3.14 | 2 |
| 2 | 9 | MASTER HERO | 24.5% | 4.09 | 1 |
| 3 | 5 | TEMPEST EXPRESS | 6.9% | 14.56 | 14 |
| 4 | 8 | QUADRUPLE DOUBLE | 6.7% | 14.88 | 7 |
| 5 | 2 | COBHFIELD | 5.0% | 20.14 | 3 |
| 6 | 3 | REGENCY BO BO | 4.3% | 23.37 | 12 |
| 7 | 1 | AMAZING ONE PLUS | 4.0% | 24.81 | 6 |
| 8 | 14 | FEARLESS FIRE | 3.8% | 26.07 | 10 |
| 9 | 13 | SKY FOREVER | 3.2% | 31.23 | 5 |
| 10 | 4 | PRIVATE ROCKET | 2.9% | 34.15 | 4 |
| 11 | 12 | PAKISTAN FRIEND | 2.7% | 37.26 | 8 |
| 12 | 7 | SUPER DYNAMITE | 1.6% | 63.39 | 9 |
| 13 | 11 | WIN WIN FIGHTER | 1.3% | 76.57 | 11 |
| 14 | 6 | THE HULK | 1.3% | 78.77 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 46
PLACE
2 30.5
9 17
10 14.5
QUINELLA
9,10 68
QUINELLA PLACE
2,9 76
2,10 58
9,10 32
FORECAST
9,10 145
TIERCE
9,10,2 757
TRIO
2,9,10 153
FIRST 4
2,4,9,10 548
QUARTET
9,10,2,4 7,952
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 18
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,4/2,9,10 2,224
9TH DOUBLE
2/9 276
2/10 47
SIX UP
7,12/11,13/5,6/2,5/1,2/9,10 6,226
7/13/6/5/2/9 560,495
2 [J Moreira] —
TREBLE
5/2/9 802
5/2/10 121