Sha Tin · 2021-11-13
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LUCKY EXPRESS Closed strongly E/TT 1.21.22 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 1 | 5.7 | HD |
| 2 | 0 | FAST MOST FURIOUS Closed strongly M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 10 | 46.0 | HD |
| 3 | 0 | HIGHLAND FORTUNE Closed strongly K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 9 | 11.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | DUKE WAI Closed strongly B/H C L Chau · P O'Sullivan | C L Chau | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 18.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | EXCELLENT PROPOSAL Closed strongly E J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 11 | 8.2 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | SILVER EXPRESS B A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 3 | 12.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | VOYAGE WARRIOR Led early C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 6 | 74.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | NOT USUAL TALENT TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 8 | 44.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | FANTASTIC TREASURE C Schofield · D A Hayes | C Schofield | D A Hayes | 2 | 2.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | BUDDIES H M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 4 | 34.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | CALIFORNIADEEPSHOT CP/TT K H Chan · A S Cruz | K H Chan | A S Cruz | 7 | 8.8 | 6-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2021-11-13 was Class 1 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. LUCKY EXPRESS, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Size, won by HD, with FAST MOST FURIOUS second and HIGHLAND FORTUNE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.0 favourite FANTASTIC TREASURE finished 9th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | FANTASTIC TREASURE | 28.8% | 3.47 | 9 |
| 2 | 0 | EXCELLENT PROPOSAL | 15.3% | 6.54 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | LUCKY EXPRESS | 13.7% | 7.29 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | SILVER EXPRESS | 10.9% | 9.18 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | CALIFORNIADEEPSHOT | 7.2% | 13.98 | 11 |
| 6 | 0 | DUKE WAI | 6.7% | 15.00 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | HIGHLAND FORTUNE | 5.8% | 17.11 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | FAST MOST FURIOUS | 3.5% | 28.92 | 2 |
| 9 | 0 | NOT USUAL TALENT | 2.8% | 36.20 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | VOYAGE WARRIOR | 2.8% | 36.23 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | BUDDIES | 2.7% | 37.49 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 57
PLACE
5 76
6 17
10 30.5
QUINELLA
5,6 942.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 242.5
5,10 385.5
6,10 93.5
FORECAST
6,5 1,830
TIERCE
6,5,10 16,153
TRIO
5,6,10 2,728
FIRST 4
2,5,6,10 6,280
QUARTET
6,5,10,2 132,446
All pools (4 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
3,11,13/5,6,10 1,890,727
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 15
A3 —
6TH DOUBLE
13/5 982.5
13/6 1,287.5
WINNING TRAINER
B4 —
B1 —
B2 26.5
B3 —