Sha Tin · 2021-11-13
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2021-11-13 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. SOLAR POWER, ridden by K H Chan and trained by C H Yip, won by NOSE, with YES WE CAN second and FAST PACE third. The winner led throughout. The 3.9 favourite TOYCOON finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | SOLAR POWER Wire to wire 1.39.18 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 5 | 5.1 | NOSE |
| 2 | 10 | YES WE CAN Closed strongly B1/TT M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 4 | 25.0 | NOSE |
| 3 | 1 | FAST PACE H L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 2 | 11.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 6 | TOYCOON CP J Moreira · P F Yiu | J Moreira | P F Yiu | 6 | 3.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 11 | LONDON LUCKYSTAR Closed strongly PC K Teetan · L Ho | K Teetan | L Ho | 10 | 5.4 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | SUPER FAST Closed strongly CP/XB C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 8 | 6.6 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 5 | AMAZING TEENS H/TT V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 11 | 53.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 3 | HANG'S DECISION B Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 3 | 5.7 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 8 | WITTY SCHOLAR A Hamelin · D A Hayes | A Hamelin | D A Hayes | 1 | 70.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 7 | FAIRY FLOSS CP/H/TT1 C Schofield · P O'Sullivan | C Schofield | P O'Sullivan | 7 | 12.0 | 13-1/2 |
| 11 | 9 | INGENIOUS FELLOW B/TT H T Mo · R Gibson | H T Mo | R Gibson | 9 | 87.0 | 14-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | TOYCOON | 20.2% | 4.94 | 4 |
| 2 | 3 | HANG'S DECISION | 17.2% | 5.80 | 8 |
| 3 | 2 | SUPER FAST | 15.1% | 6.63 | 6 |
| 4 | 4 | SOLAR POWER | 12.1% | 8.26 | 1 |
| 5 | 7 | FAIRY FLOSS | 10.8% | 9.28 | 10 |
| 6 | 1 | FAST PACE | 9.0% | 11.14 | 3 |
| 7 | 11 | LONDON LUCKYSTAR | 6.9% | 14.58 | 5 |
| 8 | 10 | YES WE CAN | 3.6% | 27.75 | 2 |
| 9 | 5 | AMAZING TEENS | 2.8% | 35.63 | 7 |
| 10 | 8 | WITTY SCHOLAR | 1.2% | 85.08 | 9 |
| 11 | 9 | INGENIOUS FELLOW | 1.1% | 89.68 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 51
PLACE
1 30.5
4 18
10 63
QUINELLA
4,10 727.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 91
1,10 353.5
4,10 203.5
FORECAST
4,10 1,095
TIERCE
4,10,1 8,875
TRIO
1,4,10 2,075
FIRST 4
1,4,6,10 1,695
QUARTET
4,10,1,6 42,614
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
3/4 618
3/10 468
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 18