Sha Tin · 2021-11-13
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ULTRA EXPRESS Closed strongly TT 1.37.90 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · A T Millard | J Moreira | A T Millard | 1 | 2.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | ELITE PATCH Closed strongly B/H/TT C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 9 | 13.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | SUPER WIN DRAGON Closed strongly TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 12 | 14.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | PARTY EVERYDAY Closed strongly H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 4 | 10.0 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | HARMONY SPIRIT Closed strongly XB C Y Ho · D J Whyte | C Y Ho | D J Whyte | 10 | 11.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | TRUE LEGEND B M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 11 | 4.3 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE Closed strongly XB/B1 A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 8 | 40.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | GOLD COMET B M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 2 | 22.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | SKYEY SUPREME Led early B/TT H N Wong · K W Lui | H N Wong | K W Lui | 6 | 16.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | CROSSFORD P1 Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 5 | 12.0 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | APACHE PASS BO1/XB1 K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 7 | 20.0 | 14 |
| 12 | 0 | BEAR SLAM L Ferraris · D E Ferraris | L Ferraris | D E Ferraris | 3 | 44.0 | 17-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2021-11-13 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. ULTRA EXPRESS, ridden by J Moreira and trained by A T Millard, won by 1-1/2, with ELITE PATCH second and SUPER WIN DRAGON third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.7 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ULTRA EXPRESS | 38.7% | 2.58 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | CROSSFORD | 14.4% | 6.94 | 10 |
| 3 | 0 | PARTY EVERYDAY | 9.5% | 10.49 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | TRUE LEGEND | 8.8% | 11.32 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | HARMONY SPIRIT | 8.5% | 11.76 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | SUPER WIN DRAGON | 4.6% | 21.78 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | ELITE PATCH | 4.5% | 22.35 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE | 3.3% | 30.61 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | GOLD COMET | 3.2% | 30.97 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | SKYEY SUPREME | 2.0% | 50.57 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | BEAR SLAM | 1.9% | 53.53 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | APACHE PASS | 0.6% | 164.09 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 27
PLACE
2 45
5 13.5
12 40
QUINELLA
2,5 276.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 101
2,12 280
5,12 81
FORECAST
5,2 412
TIERCE
5,2,12 3,636
TRIO
2,5,12 973
FIRST 4
2,5,10,12 1,705
QUARTET
5,2,12,10 25,245
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 22
A2 —
7TH DOUBLE
6/2 140.5
6/5 174.5