跑馬地 · 2021-11-17
第 2場
2021-11-17跑馬地第2場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Badel策騎、C S Shum訓練的REGENCY STAR勝出，贏出HD。SPICY GRILL獲得亞軍；HAPPILY FRIENDS獲得季軍。4.3倍大熱門MELBOURNE HALL跑獲第8名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | REGENCY STAR 1.09.57 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 5 | 7.4 | HD |
| 2 | 11 | SPICY GRILL B/TT K C Leung · K W Lui | K C Leung | K W Lui | 2 | 4.9 | HD |
| 3 | 4 | HAPPILY FRIENDS V C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 6 | 7.1 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 12 | JOY MASTER B/TT M Chadwick · D E Ferraris | M Chadwick | D E Ferraris | 9 | 52.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 3 | FARIBAULT CP- K Teetan · P O'Sullivan | K Teetan | P O'Sullivan | 7 | 8.9 | 4 |
| 6 | 9 | GOOD BEAUTY CP/TT V Borges · K L Man | V Borges | K L Man | 4 | 4.6 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 10 | LUMEN BABA B/TT H W Lai · D J Whyte | H W Lai | D J Whyte | 11 | 87.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | MELBOURNE HALL XB Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 8 | 4.3 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | HANG'S CHOICE H/TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 1 | 61.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 1 | FIGHTING STAR CP2/TT C Schofield · D A Hayes | C Schofield | D A Hayes | 12 | 14.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 2 | COOLCELEB B/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 3 | 59.0 | 9 |
| 12 | 5 | MY MY MY M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 10 | 22.0 | 15 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | REGENCY STAR | 13.8% | 7.23 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | HAPPILY FRIENDS | 13.7% | 7.29 | 3 |
| 3 | 8 | MELBOURNE HALL | 13.3% | 7.51 | 8 |
| 4 | 3 | FARIBAULT | 10.9% | 9.19 | 5 |
| 5 | 11 | SPICY GRILL | 10.4% | 9.59 | 2 |
| 6 | 9 | GOOD BEAUTY | 9.9% | 10.12 | 6 |
| 7 | 1 | FIGHTING STAR | 7.7% | 12.98 | 10 |
| 8 | 2 | COOLCELEB | 6.6% | 15.15 | 11 |
| 9 | 5 | MY MY MY | 5.7% | 17.39 | 12 |
| 10 | 12 | JOY MASTER | 4.6% | 21.58 | 4 |
| 11 | 10 | LUMEN BABA | 2.4% | 41.06 | 7 |
| 12 | 7 | HANG'S CHOICE | 0.8% | 121.13 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 74.5
PLACE
4 20
6 25
11 19
QUINELLA
6,11 230
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 101.5
4,11 58
6,11 73
FORECAST
6,11 528
TIERCE
6,11,4 3,486
TRIO
4,6,11 529
FIRST 4
4,6,11,12 4,132
QUARTET
6,11,4,12 92,272
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
12/6 971.5
12/11 81
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 32
A1 —