跑馬地 · 2021-11-17
第 6場
2021-11-17跑馬地第6場，Class 3，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由M L Yeung策騎、D J Whyte訓練的ASTROLOGER勝出，贏出1。HARMONY FIRE獲得亞軍；RESOLUTE獲得季軍。2.9倍大熱門HARMONY FIRE跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | ASTROLOGER 0.56.73 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 9 | 134.0 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | HARMONY FIRE XB/CP1 Z Purton · D J Whyte | Z Purton | D J Whyte | 7 | 2.9 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | RESOLUTE B K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 3 | 5.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 4 | METRO WARRIOR B C Schofield · D A Hayes | C Schofield | D A Hayes | 11 | 17.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 3 | DECISIVE TWELVE TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 5 | 17.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 8 | HEART CONQUERED C L Chau · R Gibson | C L Chau | R Gibson | 8 | 7.2 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 7 | ESCAPE ROUTE J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 4 | 15.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 11 | CANTSTOPTHEFEELING B/TT R Maia · K L Man | R Maia | K L Man | 2 | 8.9 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 5 | GOOD VIEW CLARICO K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 12 | 68.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 6 | MAGIC PHOENIX H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 6 | 75.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 12 | AMAZING ROCKY H M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 10 | 11.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 9 | PROPICE A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 1 | 7.5 | 8 |
| — | 0 | TRIPLE TRIPLE M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | HARMONY FIRE | 17.2% | 5.82 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | RESOLUTE | 15.7% | 6.37 | 3 |
| 3 | 7 | ESCAPE ROUTE | 15.6% | 6.42 | 7 |
| 4 | 3 | DECISIVE TWELVE | 9.2% | 10.85 | 5 |
| 5 | 8 | HEART CONQUERED | 9.0% | 11.06 | 6 |
| 6 | 11 | CANTSTOPTHEFEELING | 7.1% | 14.10 | 8 |
| 7 | 9 | PROPICE | 6.3% | 15.78 | 12 |
| 8 | 4 | METRO WARRIOR | 5.7% | 17.41 | 4 |
| 9 | 5 | GOOD VIEW CLARICO | 5.5% | 18.28 | 9 |
| 10 | 12 | AMAZING ROCKY | 4.9% | 20.59 | 11 |
| 11 | 6 | MAGIC PHOENIX | 3.1% | 32.27 | 10 |
| 12 | 10 | ASTROLOGER | 0.7% | 143.08 | 1 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 1,341.5
PLACE
1 14.5
2 17.5
10 222
QUINELLA
1,10 1,448.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 34
1,10 489
2,10 924.5
FORECAST
10,1 3,672
TIERCE
10,1,2 31,602
TRIO
1,2,10 2,821
FIRST 4
1,2,4,10 5,195
QUARTET
10,1,2,4 246,721
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 27.5
5TH DOUBLE
4/1 15.5
4/10 2,447.5