跑馬地 · 2021-11-17
第 8場
2021-11-17跑馬地第8場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由J Moreira策騎、A S Cruz訓練的CALIFORNIA CIBLE勝出，贏出1-1/2。MOMENTUM GALAXY獲得亞軍；ELON獲得季軍。頭馬以1.9倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | CALIFORNIA CIBLE TT 1.09.55 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 4 | 1.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 12 | MOMENTUM GALAXY B K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 11 | 45.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 6 | ELON E/P V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 7 | 28.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | HONG KONG BET B/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 9 | 9.4 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | JAZZ ANGEL C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 10 | 9.3 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 11 | COLONEL V H N Wong · P F Yiu | H N Wong | P F Yiu | 5 | 27.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 1 | CLASSIC POSH Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 8 | 9.5 | 5 |
| 8 | 4 | WINE AND WINE B/TT C Wong · T P Yung | C Wong | T P Yung | 6 | 14.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 7 | READY TO WIN B-/XB/TT M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 1 | 9.8 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 3 | SIMPLY FLUKE B/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 12 | 15.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 10 | MAKE IT QUICK B1 R Maia · R Gibson | R Maia | R Gibson | 3 | 79.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 12 | 8 | SUPER DOBBIN B L Ferraris · A T Millard | L Ferraris | A T Millard | 2 | 28.0 | 12-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | CALIFORNIA CIBLE | 37.7% | 2.65 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | CLASSIC POSH | 11.3% | 8.87 | 7 |
| 3 | 4 | WINE AND WINE | 8.5% | 11.73 | 8 |
| 4 | 2 | HONG KONG BET | 8.5% | 11.76 | 4 |
| 5 | 3 | SIMPLY FLUKE | 6.6% | 15.12 | 10 |
| 6 | 6 | ELON | 6.0% | 16.60 | 3 |
| 7 | 12 | MOMENTUM GALAXY | 5.2% | 19.12 | 2 |
| 8 | 9 | JAZZ ANGEL | 4.0% | 24.92 | 5 |
| 9 | 8 | SUPER DOBBIN | 3.6% | 27.88 | 12 |
| 10 | 7 | READY TO WIN | 3.4% | 29.45 | 9 |
| 11 | 10 | MAKE IT QUICK | 2.8% | 35.79 | 11 |
| 12 | 11 | COLONEL | 2.3% | 43.14 | 6 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 19
PLACE
5 13
6 60
12 89
QUINELLA
5,12 407.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 102.5
5,12 146.5
6,12 1,009.5
FORECAST
5,12 611
TIERCE
5,12,6 7,659
TRIO
5,6,12 2,256
FIRST 4
2,5,6,12 3,572
QUARTET
5,12,6,2 55,531
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 16
A3 —
A2 —
7TH DOUBLE
11/5 94
11/12 492.5