跑馬地 · 2021-11-17
第 1場
2021-11-17跑馬地第1場，Class 5，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由M Chadwick策騎、C W Chang訓練的ONE STEP AHEAD勝出，贏出SH。GENERAL TRUMP獲得亞軍；ZACIAN獲得季軍。3.0倍大熱門VIVA MAMA跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | ONE STEP AHEAD B 1.10.08 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 3 | 11.0 | SH |
| 2 | 9 | GENERAL TRUMP B/TT K Teetan · T P Yung | K Teetan | T P Yung | 9 | 7.3 | SH |
| 3 | 5 | ZACIAN C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 12 | 9.8 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 1 | CASA KINGDOM XB C Schofield · D A Hayes | C Schofield | D A Hayes | 5 | 15.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 7 | VIVA MAMA TT Z Purton · R Gibson | Z Purton | R Gibson | 11 | 3.0 | 3/4 |
| 6 | 10 | JOY AVENUE M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 10 | 19.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 8 | TELECOM MISSILE TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 1 | 5.7 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 3 | SPLIT OF A SECOND CP/H A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 8 | 12.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 4 | ISLAND SUNSHINE PC- V Borges · K W Lui | V Borges | K W Lui | 6 | 39.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 11 | OURGOLDENRULES B/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 4 | 32.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 6 | FOREVER CITY TT K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 7 | 19.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 2 | DIVINE ERA TT L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 2 | 12.0 | 8-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | TELECOM MISSILE | 23.5% | 4.26 | 7 |
| 2 | 7 | VIVA MAMA | 11.8% | 8.45 | 5 |
| 3 | 5 | ZACIAN | 11.4% | 8.78 | 3 |
| 4 | 12 | ONE STEP AHEAD | 8.0% | 12.49 | 1 |
| 5 | 6 | FOREVER CITY | 7.1% | 14.06 | 11 |
| 6 | 9 | GENERAL TRUMP | 7.0% | 14.22 | 2 |
| 7 | 4 | ISLAND SUNSHINE | 6.7% | 14.95 | 9 |
| 8 | 10 | JOY AVENUE | 5.8% | 17.32 | 6 |
| 9 | 1 | CASA KINGDOM | 5.3% | 18.73 | 4 |
| 10 | 11 | OURGOLDENRULES | 5.1% | 19.72 | 10 |
| 11 | 3 | SPLIT OF A SECOND | 4.9% | 20.37 | 8 |
| 12 | 2 | DIVINE ERA | 3.4% | 29.75 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 116.5
PLACE
5 32.5
9 25.5
12 29
QUINELLA
9,12 469.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,9 131
5,12 174
9,12 144.5
FORECAST
12,9 996
TIERCE
12,9,5 6,541
TRIO
5,9,12 1,653
FIRST 4
1,5,9,12 3,855
QUARTET
12,9,5,1 92,699
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 24
A2 —
A3 —