Happy Valley · 2021-11-17
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ASTROLOGER 0.56.73 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 9 | 134.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | RESOLUTE B K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 3 | 5.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | METRO WARRIOR B C Schofield · D A Hayes | C Schofield | D A Hayes | 11 | 17.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | DECISIVE TWELVE TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 5 | 17.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | HEART CONQUERED C L Chau · R Gibson | C L Chau | R Gibson | 8 | 7.2 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | ESCAPE ROUTE J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 4 | 15.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | CANTSTOPTHEFEELING B/TT R Maia · K L Man | R Maia | K L Man | 2 | 8.9 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | GOOD VIEW CLARICO K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 12 | 68.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | MAGIC PHOENIX H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 6 | 75.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | AMAZING ROCKY H M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 10 | 11.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | PROPICE A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 1 | 7.5 | 8 |
| — | 0 | HARMONY FIRE XB/CP1 Z Purton · D J Whyte | Z Purton | D J Whyte | — | 2.9 | 1 |
| — | 0 | TRIPLE TRIPLE M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2021-11-17 was Class 3 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. ASTROLOGER, ridden by M L Yeung and trained by D J Whyte, won by 1, with RESOLUTE second and METRO WARRIOR third. The 2.9 favourite HARMONY FIRE did not finish.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HARMONY FIRE | 17.2% | 5.82 | — |
| 2 | 0 | RESOLUTE | 15.7% | 6.37 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | ESCAPE ROUTE | 15.6% | 6.42 | 7 |
| 4 | 0 | DECISIVE TWELVE | 9.2% | 10.85 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | HEART CONQUERED | 9.0% | 11.06 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | CANTSTOPTHEFEELING | 7.1% | 14.10 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | PROPICE | 6.3% | 15.78 | 12 |
| 8 | 0 | METRO WARRIOR | 5.7% | 17.41 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | GOOD VIEW CLARICO | 5.5% | 18.28 | 9 |
| 10 | 0 | AMAZING ROCKY | 4.9% | 20.59 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | MAGIC PHOENIX | 3.1% | 32.27 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | ASTROLOGER | 0.7% | 143.08 | 1 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 1,341.5
PLACE
1 14.5
2 17.5
10 222
QUINELLA
1,10 1,448.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 34
1,10 489
2,10 924.5
FORECAST
10,1 3,672
TIERCE
10,1,2 31,602
TRIO
1,2,10 2,821
FIRST 4
1,2,4,10 5,195
QUARTET
10,1,2,4 246,721
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 27.5
5TH DOUBLE
4/1 15.5
4/10 2,447.5