沙田 · 2021-12-29 · 19:19
第 1場
2021-12-29沙田第1場，Class 5，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由M F Poon策騎、C Fownes訓練的E HONEY勝出，贏出N。RUN RUN GOOD獲得亞軍；WINNING STRIKES獲得季軍。2.0倍大熱門RUN RUN GOOD跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | E HONEY H-/XB- 1.09.10 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M F Poon · C Fownes | M F Poon | C Fownes | 12 | 48.0 | N |
| 2 | 7 | RUN RUN GOOD B/TT J Moreira · K L Man | J Moreira | K L Man | 5 | 2.0 | N |
| 3 | 11 | WINNING STRIKES B M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 10 | 5.5 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 9 | RAGING BLAZE P2/TT V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 2 | 10.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 10 | THE ELITES TT H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 8 | 11.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 6 | GENERAL TRUMP B/TT K Teetan · T P Yung | K Teetan | T P Yung | 3 | 9.5 | 3 |
| 7 | 4 | FANTASTIC FABIO K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 4 | 18.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 5 | GALLANT CAVALIER B/TT L Ferraris · A T Millard | L Ferraris | A T Millard | 1 | 32.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 8 | VIVA MAMA CP/TT H T Mo · R Gibson | H T Mo | R Gibson | 11 | 28.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 1 | LUCKY TREASURE H/TT M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 6 | 79.0 | 9 |
| 11 | 3 | BLAZING BEAT B/SR1 H N Wong · C W Chang | H N Wong | C W Chang | 7 | 44.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 12 | 2 | SHANGHAI POWER B K H Chan · Y S Tsui | K H Chan | Y S Tsui | 9 | 12.0 | 12-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | RUN RUN GOOD | 31.6% | 3.16 | 2 |
| 2 | 9 | RAGING BLAZE | 13.4% | 7.48 | 4 |
| 3 | 6 | GENERAL TRUMP | 11.5% | 8.71 | 6 |
| 4 | 2 | SHANGHAI POWER | 9.2% | 10.92 | 12 |
| 5 | 8 | VIVA MAMA | 8.2% | 12.20 | 9 |
| 6 | 10 | THE ELITES | 8.2% | 12.26 | 5 |
| 7 | 4 | FANTASTIC FABIO | 5.2% | 19.11 | 7 |
| 8 | 3 | BLAZING BEAT | 3.2% | 31.20 | 11 |
| 9 | 11 | WINNING STRIKES | 3.2% | 31.47 | 3 |
| 10 | 12 | E HONEY | 3.1% | 31.88 | 1 |
| 11 | 5 | GALLANT CAVALIER | 1.8% | 55.43 | 8 |
| 12 | 1 | LUCKY TREASURE | 1.5% | 67.92 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 481
PLACE
7 12
11 18.5
12 103
QUINELLA
7,12 491.5
QUINELLA PLACE
7,11 29
7,12 160
11,12 279.5
FORECAST
12,7 1,942
TIERCE
12,7,11 8,938
TRIO
7,11,12 705
FIRST 4
7,9,11,12 1,714
QUARTET
12,7,11,9 77,937
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 34