沙田 · 2021-12-29 · 22:23
第 7場
2021-12-29沙田第7場，Class 3，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由H Bentley策騎、D J Whyte訓練的TURIN REDSTAR勝出，贏出2-1/4。PARTY EVERYDAY獲得亞軍；KING'S CAPITAL獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.4倍大熱門ULTRA EXPRESS跑獲第7名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | TURIN REDSTAR 後段發力 B/TT 1.37.39 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 7 | 15.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 10 | PARTY EVERYDAY 後段發力 H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 10 | 31.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 8 | KING'S CAPITAL 後段發力 A Hamelin · D A Hayes | A Hamelin | D A Hayes | 9 | 66.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 2 | BEAUTY FIT 後段發力 E/P1 V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 8 | 17.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 12 | SKYEY SUPREME B/TT C Wong · K W Lui | C Wong | K W Lui | 2 | 15.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 4 | MAGNIFICENT H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 4 | 35.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 3 | ULTRA EXPRESS TT J Moreira · A T Millard | J Moreira | A T Millard | 1 | 2.4 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 9 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE 後段發力 B/XB M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 11 | 32.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 1 | CHANCHENG PRINCE XB/TT R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 6 | 4.4 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 6 | INFINITE POWER 早段領放 CP M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 12 | 9.4 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 7 | READY PLAYER ONE TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 5 | 6.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 12 | 11 | RIGHT HONOURABLE H/PC/TT H T Mo · R Gibson | H T Mo | R Gibson | 3 | 70.0 | 15 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | ULTRA EXPRESS | 45.8% | 2.19 | 7 |
| 2 | 6 | INFINITE POWER | 8.4% | 11.88 | 10 |
| 3 | 1 | CHANCHENG PRINCE | 7.6% | 13.17 | 9 |
| 4 | 7 | READY PLAYER ONE | 7.5% | 13.33 | 11 |
| 5 | 10 | PARTY EVERYDAY | 6.3% | 15.91 | 2 |
| 6 | 5 | TURIN REDSTAR | 4.3% | 23.18 | 1 |
| 7 | 2 | BEAUTY FIT | 4.1% | 24.30 | 4 |
| 8 | 9 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE | 4.0% | 24.79 | 8 |
| 9 | 8 | KING'S CAPITAL | 3.8% | 26.26 | 3 |
| 10 | 12 | SKYEY SUPREME | 3.5% | 28.93 | 5 |
| 11 | 4 | MAGNIFICENT | 2.5% | 39.83 | 6 |
| 12 | 11 | RIGHT HONOURABLE | 2.2% | 45.26 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 150
PLACE
5 42.5
8 123.5
10 58.5
QUINELLA
5,10 1,540
QUINELLA PLACE
5,8 918.5
5,10 340.5
8,10 1,079
FORECAST
5,10 2,924
TIERCE
5,10,8 82,747
TRIO
5,8,10 9,884
FIRST 4
2,5,8,10 20,548
QUARTET
5,10,8,2 453,093
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 43.5
A3 —
A1 —
6TH DOUBLE
3/5 875
3/10 242