Sha Tin · 2021-12-29 · 22:23
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2021-12-29 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. TURIN REDSTAR, ridden by H Bentley and trained by D J Whyte, won by 2-1/4, with PARTY EVERYDAY second and KING'S CAPITAL third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.4 favourite ULTRA EXPRESS finished 7th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | TURIN REDSTAR Closed strongly B/TT 1.37.39 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 7 | 15.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 10 | PARTY EVERYDAY Closed strongly H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 10 | 31.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 8 | KING'S CAPITAL Closed strongly A Hamelin · D A Hayes | A Hamelin | D A Hayes | 9 | 66.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 2 | BEAUTY FIT Closed strongly E/P1 V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 8 | 17.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 12 | SKYEY SUPREME B/TT C Wong · K W Lui | C Wong | K W Lui | 2 | 15.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 4 | MAGNIFICENT H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 4 | 35.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 3 | ULTRA EXPRESS TT J Moreira · A T Millard | J Moreira | A T Millard | 1 | 2.4 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 9 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE Closed strongly B/XB M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 11 | 32.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 1 | CHANCHENG PRINCE XB/TT R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 6 | 4.4 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 6 | INFINITE POWER Led early CP M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 12 | 9.4 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 7 | READY PLAYER ONE TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 5 | 6.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 12 | 11 | RIGHT HONOURABLE H/PC/TT H T Mo · R Gibson | H T Mo | R Gibson | 3 | 70.0 | 15 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | ULTRA EXPRESS | 45.8% | 2.19 | 7 |
| 2 | 6 | INFINITE POWER | 8.4% | 11.88 | 10 |
| 3 | 1 | CHANCHENG PRINCE | 7.6% | 13.17 | 9 |
| 4 | 7 | READY PLAYER ONE | 7.5% | 13.33 | 11 |
| 5 | 10 | PARTY EVERYDAY | 6.3% | 15.91 | 2 |
| 6 | 5 | TURIN REDSTAR | 4.3% | 23.18 | 1 |
| 7 | 2 | BEAUTY FIT | 4.1% | 24.30 | 4 |
| 8 | 9 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE | 4.0% | 24.79 | 8 |
| 9 | 8 | KING'S CAPITAL | 3.8% | 26.26 | 3 |
| 10 | 12 | SKYEY SUPREME | 3.5% | 28.93 | 5 |
| 11 | 4 | MAGNIFICENT | 2.5% | 39.83 | 6 |
| 12 | 11 | RIGHT HONOURABLE | 2.2% | 45.26 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 150
PLACE
5 42.5
8 123.5
10 58.5
QUINELLA
5,10 1,540
QUINELLA PLACE
5,8 918.5
5,10 340.5
8,10 1,079
FORECAST
5,10 2,924
TIERCE
5,10,8 82,747
TRIO
5,8,10 9,884
FIRST 4
2,5,8,10 20,548
QUARTET
5,10,8,2 453,093
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 43.5
A3 —
A1 —
6TH DOUBLE
3/5 875
3/10 242