Sha Tin · 2021-12-29 · 21:21
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ALL JOYFUL Closed strongly B 1.38.02 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Shinn · T P Yung | B Shinn | T P Yung | 5 | 9.0 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | WINMORE STAR Closed strongly B- R Maia · K L Man | R Maia | K L Man | 2 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | BLOTTING PAPER B-/TT A Hamelin · R Gibson | A Hamelin | R Gibson | 7 | 25.0 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | SUPER WIN DRAGON Closed strongly TT J Moreira · W Y So | J Moreira | W Y So | 12 | 2.9 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | SUN OF MAKFI Closed strongly XB M Chadwick · D J Hall | M Chadwick | D J Hall | 13 | 10.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | CHIRON Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 14 | 21.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | JADE THEATRE B-/H1 H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 1 | 13.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | SUNNY DELIGHT B/TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 8 | 18.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | SOLAR POWER Led early K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 3 | 8.2 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | DRAGON BABY E/PC/TT V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 9 | 12.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | RUN THE TABLE H M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 6 | 10.0 | 14-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | FASTER Closed strongly B/TT M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 11 | 116.0 | 21-3/4 |
| 13 | 0 | SHINY ONE XB L Ferraris · P F Yiu | L Ferraris | P F Yiu | 4 | 48.0 | 21-3/4 |
| 14 | 0 | DRAGON COMMANDER B K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 10 | 31.0 | 24 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2021-12-29 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. ALL JOYFUL, ridden by B Shinn and trained by T P Yung, won by 2, with WINMORE STAR second and BLOTTING PAPER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.9 favourite SUPER WIN DRAGON finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SUPER WIN DRAGON | 21.9% | 4.58 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | RUN THE TABLE | 14.0% | 7.13 | 11 |
| 3 | 0 | SOLAR POWER | 12.9% | 7.73 | 9 |
| 4 | 0 | ALL JOYFUL | 7.5% | 13.30 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | DRAGON BABY | 6.8% | 14.64 | 10 |
| 6 | 0 | CHIRON | 6.5% | 15.48 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | SUNNY DELIGHT | 6.3% | 15.90 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | SUN OF MAKFI | 5.8% | 17.21 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | JADE THEATRE | 4.9% | 20.27 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | SHINY ONE | 4.0% | 25.01 | 13 |
| 11 | 0 | BLOTTING PAPER | 3.5% | 28.76 | 3 |
| 12 | 0 | DRAGON COMMANDER | 2.7% | 36.62 | 14 |
| 13 | 0 | WINMORE STAR | 2.4% | 41.56 | 2 |
| 14 | 0 | FASTER | 0.7% | 136.68 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 90
PLACE
4 31
9 37.5
10 61.5
QUINELLA
4,9 431
QUINELLA PLACE
4,9 149
4,10 266
9,10 347.5
FORECAST
4,9 1,345
TIERCE
4,9,10 15,480
TRIO
4,9,10 2,018
FIRST 4
2,4,9,10 2,786
QUARTET
4,9,10,2 95,136
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 35
A3 —
4TH DOUBLE
11/4 1,750.5
11/9 353.5