Sha Tin · 2021-12-29 · 21:51
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2021-12-29 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. EVERYONE'S VICTORY, ridden by H Bentley and trained by F C Lor, won by 2-1/4, with FIERY DIAMOND second and UTOPIA LIFE third. Victory came as the 3.9 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | EVERYONE'S VICTORY H/TT 1.08.34 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 12 | 3.9 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 5 | FIERY DIAMOND R Maia · T P Yung | R Maia | T P Yung | 8 | 4.2 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 4 | UTOPIA LIFE B K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 1 | 9.4 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 2 | MOERAKI B M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 10 | 8.9 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 12 | FORTUNE HAPPINESS V J Moreira · K W Lui | J Moreira | K W Lui | 6 | 7.7 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | VALIANT ELEGANCE B/TT C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 2 | 5.8 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 10 | BOYS PARTY XB/B1 L Ferraris · A T Millard | L Ferraris | A T Millard | 4 | 36.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 1 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS B/TT H T Mo · D J Hall | H T Mo | D J Hall | 9 | 16.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 7 | HANDSOME GUYS B H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 5 | 18.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 6 | HANDSOME BOY B M L Yeung · R Gibson | M L Yeung | R Gibson | 11 | 95.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 11 | 8 | SPLENDID STAR M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 3 | 35.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 12 | 11 | PANZERSCHRECK E/P/TT V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 7 | 58.0 | 10-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | VALIANT ELEGANCE | 22.8% | 4.38 | 6 |
| 2 | 3 | EVERYONE'S VICTORY | 17.8% | 5.61 | 1 |
| 3 | 5 | FIERY DIAMOND | 16.5% | 6.05 | 2 |
| 4 | 12 | FORTUNE HAPPINESS | 13.2% | 7.57 | 5 |
| 5 | 1 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS | 11.7% | 8.55 | 8 |
| 6 | 4 | UTOPIA LIFE | 7.0% | 14.35 | 3 |
| 7 | 8 | SPLENDID STAR | 3.3% | 30.05 | 11 |
| 8 | 11 | PANZERSCHRECK | 2.5% | 39.92 | 12 |
| 9 | 2 | MOERAKI | 2.1% | 47.58 | 4 |
| 10 | 7 | HANDSOME GUYS | 1.2% | 80.36 | 9 |
| 11 | 10 | BOYS PARTY | 1.2% | 85.03 | 7 |
| 12 | 6 | HANDSOME BOY | 0.6% | 166.36 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 39.5
PLACE
3 15.5
4 29.5
5 16
QUINELLA
3,5 84
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 70.5
3,5 35
4,5 80
FORECAST
3,5 217
TIERCE
3,5,4 1,248
TRIO
3,4,5 249
FIRST 4
2,3,4,5 361
QUARTET
3,5,4,2 7,887
All pools (4 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
4,9,10/3,4,5 280,982
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 20.5
5TH DOUBLE
4/3 519
4/5 61
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
7,11,13/4,9,10/Any Combination 299,524