跑馬地 · 2022-02-09 · 20:46
第 5場
2022-02-09跑馬地第5場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Hamelin策騎、P F Yiu訓練的LORIZ勝出，贏出3/4。JOYFUL GENIUS獲得亞軍；XPONENTIAL獲得季軍。2.3倍大熱門JOYFUL GENIUS跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | LORIZ 1.10.31 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 10 | 14.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 9 | JOYFUL GENIUS CP Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 1 | 2.3 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 1 | XPONENTIAL B/TT C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 2 | 3.5 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 5 | BLISSFUL STAR TT M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 5 | 15.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 8 | WINS ALL TT H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 6 | 26.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 4 | SUGAR SUGAR B/H/TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 8 | 62.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 11 | MY INTELLIGENT A Badel · L Ho | A Badel | L Ho | 9 | 10.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 7 | SHADOW RUNNER TT K Teetan · P O'Sullivan | K Teetan | P O'Sullivan | 11 | 14.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 2 | CAPTAIN LONG K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 3 | 11.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 6 | HANDSOME VEGGIE D Moor · D A Hayes | D Moor | D A Hayes | 4 | 43.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 12 | FORTUNE HAPPINESS V H W Lai · K W Lui | H W Lai | K W Lui | 7 | 58.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 3 | FORTUNE MARBO C Wong · T P Yung | C Wong | T P Yung | 12 | 149.0 | 9-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | JOYFUL GENIUS | 29.0% | 3.45 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | CAPTAIN LONG | 23.6% | 4.23 | 9 |
| 3 | 1 | XPONENTIAL | 10.2% | 9.76 | 3 |
| 4 | 7 | SHADOW RUNNER | 8.1% | 12.32 | 8 |
| 5 | 5 | BLISSFUL STAR | 7.0% | 14.35 | 4 |
| 6 | 8 | WINS ALL | 5.2% | 19.35 | 5 |
| 7 | 10 | LORIZ | 4.4% | 22.79 | 1 |
| 8 | 11 | MY INTELLIGENT | 4.0% | 24.72 | 7 |
| 9 | 6 | HANDSOME VEGGIE | 3.1% | 32.02 | 10 |
| 10 | 12 | FORTUNE HAPPINESS | 2.9% | 34.09 | 11 |
| 11 | 4 | SUGAR SUGAR | 1.7% | 57.25 | 6 |
| 12 | 3 | FORTUNE MARBO | 0.6% | 159.59 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 140
PLACE
1 13.5
9 14
10 30
QUINELLA
9,10 125
QUINELLA PLACE
1,9 20.5
1,10 70
9,10 50.5
FORECAST
10,9 360
TIERCE
10,9,1 1,524
TRIO
1,9,10 191
FIRST 4
1,5,9,10 337
QUARTET
10,9,1,5 10,494
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,6,9/1,9,10 55,062
3 PICK 1
A3 41.5
A1 —
A2 —
4TH DOUBLE
6/9 68.5
6/10 1,151