跑馬地 · 2022-02-09 · 20:16
第 4場
2022-02-09跑馬地第4場，Class 4，途程1800米，跑道評為GOOD。由K C Leung策騎、P F Yiu訓練的OFF THE REEL勝出，贏出1-1/2。LUCKY DIAMOND獲得亞軍；ASIAN ONE獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.1倍大熱門RED IMPACT跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | OFF THE REEL 後段發力 XB 1.50.71 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 12 | 9.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 2 | LUCKY DIAMOND B/TT1 K Teetan · K H Ting | K Teetan | K H Ting | 10 | 6.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 9 | ASIAN ONE 後段發力 B/TT L Hewitson · A T Millard | L Hewitson | A T Millard | 4 | 24.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 11 | MANNA FROM HEAVEN B H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 5 | 31.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 7 | HYPERION TREE 後段發力 C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 2 | 6.2 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 3 | RED IMPACT Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 7 | 3.1 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 5 | WINNING VOLATILITY PC A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 1 | 7.3 | 6 |
| 8 | 12 | TAILOR MADE 後段發力 TT H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 6 | 10.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 4 | SMART PATCH 後段發力 B A Hamelin · P O'Sullivan | A Hamelin | P O'Sullivan | 11 | 47.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 10 | FULL POWER 早段領放 B/XB R Maia · R Gibson | R Maia | R Gibson | 3 | 38.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 1 | MURRAY'S PARTNERS 後段發力 V C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 9 | 32.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 8 | SWOT TROOPERS WIND B L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 8 | 12.0 | 9-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | RED IMPACT | 20.3% | 4.93 | 6 |
| 2 | 6 | OFF THE REEL | 12.9% | 7.77 | 1 |
| 3 | 5 | WINNING VOLATILITY | 12.2% | 8.17 | 7 |
| 4 | 2 | LUCKY DIAMOND | 11.5% | 8.73 | 2 |
| 5 | 12 | TAILOR MADE | 10.8% | 9.26 | 8 |
| 6 | 7 | HYPERION TREE | 10.3% | 9.74 | 5 |
| 7 | 11 | MANNA FROM HEAVEN | 6.0% | 16.55 | 4 |
| 8 | 1 | MURRAY'S PARTNERS | 4.6% | 21.61 | 11 |
| 9 | 8 | SWOT TROOPERS WIND | 4.5% | 22.47 | 12 |
| 10 | 4 | SMART PATCH | 3.6% | 27.51 | 9 |
| 11 | 9 | ASIAN ONE | 1.8% | 54.30 | 3 |
| 12 | 10 | FULL POWER | 1.5% | 66.94 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 94.5
PLACE
2 19
6 31.5
9 64
QUINELLA
2,6 275.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 94.5
2,9 218
6,9 288
FORECAST
6,2 785
TIERCE
6,2,9 13,379
TRIO
2,6,9 1,968
FIRST 4
2,6,9,11 11,646
QUARTET
6,2,9,11 213,372
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 23.5
A3 —
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE
7/2 19.5
7/6 162