Happy Valley · 2022-02-09 · 20:16
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | OFF THE REEL Closed strongly XB 1.50.71 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 12 | 9.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | LUCKY DIAMOND B/TT1 K Teetan · K H Ting | K Teetan | K H Ting | 10 | 6.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | ASIAN ONE Closed strongly B/TT L Hewitson · A T Millard | L Hewitson | A T Millard | 4 | 24.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | MANNA FROM HEAVEN B H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 5 | 31.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | HYPERION TREE Closed strongly C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 2 | 6.2 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | RED IMPACT Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 7 | 3.1 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | WINNING VOLATILITY PC A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 1 | 7.3 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | TAILOR MADE Closed strongly TT H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 6 | 10.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | SMART PATCH Closed strongly B A Hamelin · P O'Sullivan | A Hamelin | P O'Sullivan | 11 | 47.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | FULL POWER Led early B/XB R Maia · R Gibson | R Maia | R Gibson | 3 | 38.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | MURRAY'S PARTNERS Closed strongly V C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 9 | 32.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | SWOT TROOPERS WIND B L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 8 | 12.0 | 9-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2022-02-09 was Class 4 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. OFF THE REEL, ridden by K C Leung and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1-1/2, with LUCKY DIAMOND second and ASIAN ONE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite RED IMPACT finished 6th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | RED IMPACT | 20.3% | 4.93 | 6 |
| 2 | 0 | OFF THE REEL | 12.9% | 7.77 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | WINNING VOLATILITY | 12.2% | 8.17 | 7 |
| 4 | 0 | LUCKY DIAMOND | 11.5% | 8.73 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | TAILOR MADE | 10.8% | 9.26 | 8 |
| 6 | 0 | HYPERION TREE | 10.3% | 9.74 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | MANNA FROM HEAVEN | 6.0% | 16.55 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | MURRAY'S PARTNERS | 4.6% | 21.61 | 11 |
| 9 | 0 | SWOT TROOPERS WIND | 4.5% | 22.47 | 12 |
| 10 | 0 | SMART PATCH | 3.6% | 27.51 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | ASIAN ONE | 1.8% | 54.30 | 3 |
| 12 | 0 | FULL POWER | 1.5% | 66.94 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 94.5
PLACE
2 19
6 31.5
9 64
QUINELLA
2,6 275.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 94.5
2,9 218
6,9 288
FORECAST
6,2 785
TIERCE
6,2,9 13,379
TRIO
2,6,9 1,968
FIRST 4
2,6,9,11 11,646
QUARTET
6,2,9,11 213,372
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 23.5
3RD DOUBLE
7/2 19.5
7/6 162