Happy Valley · 2022-02-09 · 19:46
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | DRAGON PRIDE Closed strongly 1.40.94 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 1 | 1.8 | N |
| 2 | 0 | DIAMOND STAR Closed strongly E/TT K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 11 | 12.0 | N |
| 3 | 0 | AMAZING BOY Closed strongly B/TT A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 8 | 16.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | LUCKY MISSILE Closed strongly CP L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 7 | 8.4 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | WAH MAY LUCK B/TT C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 5 | 28.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | PRIME STAR Closed strongly B/TT R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 2 | 10.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | SHANGHAI GRACE B A Badel · Y S Tsui | A Badel | Y S Tsui | 3 | 6.5 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | PRESIDENT STAR B/TT D Moor · C S Shum | D Moor | C S Shum | 10 | 54.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | NOBLE MAN B/TT H Bentley · K L Man | H Bentley | K L Man | 12 | 23.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | EVER JOY Led early BO/XB2 L Hewitson · P O'Sullivan | L Hewitson | P O'Sullivan | 6 | 79.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | SMART COUSIN K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 4 | 34.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | LUCKY VICTOR B/TT K H Chan · K H Ting | K H Chan | K H Ting | 9 | 55.0 | 18-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2022-02-09 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. DRAGON PRIDE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by T P Yung, won by N, with DIAMOND STAR second and AMAZING BOY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.8 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | DRAGON PRIDE | 25.4% | 3.94 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | SHANGHAI GRACE | 11.3% | 8.84 | 7 |
| 3 | 0 | DIAMOND STAR | 10.4% | 9.63 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | PRIME STAR | 10.4% | 9.64 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | NOBLE MAN | 7.4% | 13.51 | 9 |
| 6 | 0 | WAH MAY LUCK | 7.1% | 14.01 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | LUCKY VICTOR | 7.0% | 14.22 | 12 |
| 8 | 0 | AMAZING BOY | 6.8% | 14.61 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | LUCKY MISSILE | 4.7% | 21.37 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | PRESIDENT STAR | 4.5% | 22.39 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | EVER JOY | 2.9% | 34.28 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | SMART COUSIN | 2.1% | 47.77 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 18
PLACE
5 31
7 11
11 29
QUINELLA
7,11 116.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,7 58
5,11 224.5
7,11 46.5
FORECAST
7,11 164
TIERCE
7,11,5 1,260
TRIO
5,7,11 587
FIRST 4
1,5,7,11 411
QUARTET
7,11,5,1 5,351
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
10/7 658.5
10/11 622.5
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 17
A3 —