Happy Valley · 2022-02-09 · 22:53
Race 9
Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2022-02-09 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. INVINCIBLE MISSILE, ridden by H Bentley and trained by C Fownes, won by HD, with EVERYONE'S DELIGHT second and TOTAL POWER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.3 favourite GORYTUS finished 9th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE Closed strongly TT 1.39.84 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 10 | 11.0 | HD |
| 2 | 2 | EVERYONE'S DELIGHT V/TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 4 | 10.0 | HD |
| 3 | 8 | TOTAL POWER Closed strongly B K H Chan · D J Hall | K H Chan | D J Hall | 1 | 8.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 1 | AMAZING ONE PLUS Closed strongly P/XB/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 6 | 12.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 12 | WORLD FAMOUS Led early V C Wong · P F Yiu | C Wong | P F Yiu | 5 | 15.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 10 | SACRED IBIS Closed strongly XB L Hewitson · A T Millard | L Hewitson | A T Millard | 8 | 25.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 9 | THE ANOMALY M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 12 | 14.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 7 | GAMEPLAYER TIMES SR/XB D Moor · D J Whyte | D Moor | D J Whyte | 9 | 34.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 3 | GORYTUS XB/TT K C Leung · C S Shum | K C Leung | C S Shum | 7 | 2.3 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 11 | RED MAJESTY B/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 11 | 12.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 5 | INCANTO PREPARED E/TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 3 | 37.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 4 | HELENE WISDOM STAR B-/H/CP1/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 2 | 11.0 | 12-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | TOTAL POWER | 15.5% | 6.45 | 3 |
| 2 | 3 | GORYTUS | 15.0% | 6.67 | 9 |
| 3 | 1 | AMAZING ONE PLUS | 9.4% | 10.68 | 4 |
| 4 | 4 | HELENE WISDOM STAR | 9.3% | 10.73 | 12 |
| 5 | 6 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE | 8.5% | 11.75 | 1 |
| 6 | 9 | THE ANOMALY | 8.4% | 11.92 | 7 |
| 7 | 2 | EVERYONE'S DELIGHT | 8.3% | 12.04 | 2 |
| 8 | 7 | GAMEPLAYER TIMES | 7.3% | 13.63 | 8 |
| 9 | 11 | RED MAJESTY | 6.4% | 15.69 | 10 |
| 10 | 12 | WORLD FAMOUS | 5.5% | 18.33 | 5 |
| 11 | 5 | INCANTO PREPARED | 4.8% | 20.74 | 11 |
| 12 | 10 | SACRED IBIS | 1.6% | 61.11 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 116
PLACE
2 35.5
6 22.5
8 25
QUINELLA
2,6 607.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 178.5
2,8 138
6,8 115.5
FORECAST
6,2 1,433
TIERCE
6,2,8 9,025
TRIO
2,6,8 1,326
FIRST 4
1,2,6,8 2,851
QUARTET
6,2,8,1 72,149
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 38
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
6,7,8/2,6,8 185,028
8TH DOUBLE
8/2 142
8/6 576.5
SIX UP
2,6/9,10/8,11/5,6/7,8/2,6 4,043
6/10/8/6/8/6 891,800
1 [Z Purton] —
TREBLE
6/8/2 1,287
6/8/6 4,458