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Happy Valley · 2022-02-09 · 22:53

Race 9

Class 3 GOOD 1650m Course B 12 runners

Result

Official · 1.39.84
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 INVINCIBLE MISSILE Closed strongly TT 1.39.84 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · C Fownes 10 11.0 HD
2 0 EVERYONE'S DELIGHT V/TT A Badel · F C Lor 4 10.0 HD
3 0 TOTAL POWER Closed strongly B K H Chan · D J Hall 1 8.0 1
4 0 AMAZING ONE PLUS Closed strongly P/XB/TT C L Chau · T P Yung 6 12.0 1-1/4
5 0 WORLD FAMOUS Led early V C Wong · P F Yiu 5 15.0 1-1/2
6 0 SACRED IBIS Closed strongly XB L Hewitson · A T Millard 8 25.0 2
7 0 THE ANOMALY M L Yeung · K H Ting 12 14.0 2-1/2
8 0 GAMEPLAYER TIMES SR/XB D Moor · D J Whyte 9 34.0 2-1/2
9 0 GORYTUS XB/TT K C Leung · C S Shum 7 2.3 3-3/4
10 0 RED MAJESTY B/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes 11 12.0 4-3/4
11 0 INCANTO PREPARED E/TT A Hamelin · J Size 3 37.0 5-1/4
12 0 HELENE WISDOM STAR B-/H/CP1/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz 2 11.0 12-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2022-02-09 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. INVINCIBLE MISSILE, ridden by H Bentley and trained by C Fownes, won by HD, with EVERYONE'S DELIGHT second and TOTAL POWER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.3 favourite GORYTUS finished 9th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. INVINCIBLE MISSILE—2. EVERYONE'S DELIGHT+0.2L3. TOTAL POWER+1L4. AMAZING ONE PLUS+1.25L5. WORLD FAMOUS+1.5L6. SACRED IBIS+2L7. THE ANOMALY+2.5L8. GAMEPLAYER TIMES+2.5L9. GORYTUS+3.75L10. RED MAJESTY+4.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick TOTAL POWER (15.5%) finished 3rd — the winner INVINCIBLE MISSILE was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 TOTAL POWER 15.5% 6.45 3
2 0 GORYTUS 15.0% 6.67 9
3 0 AMAZING ONE PLUS 9.4% 10.68 4
4 0 HELENE WISDOM STAR 9.3% 10.73 12
5 0 INVINCIBLE MISSILE 8.5% 11.75 1
6 0 THE ANOMALY 8.4% 11.92 7
7 0 EVERYONE'S DELIGHT 8.3% 12.04 2
8 0 GAMEPLAYER TIMES 7.3% 13.63 8
9 0 RED MAJESTY 6.4% 15.69 10
10 0 WORLD FAMOUS 5.5% 18.33 5
11 0 INCANTO PREPARED 4.8% 20.74 11
12 0 SACRED IBIS 1.6% 61.11 6
TOTAL POWERGORYTUSAMAZING ONE PLUSHELENE WISDOM STARINVINCIBLE MISSILE — wonTHE ANOMALYEVERYONE'S DELIGHTGAMEPLAYER TIMESRED MAJESTYWORLD FAMOUSINCANTO PREPAREDSACRED IBIS

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 116

PLACE

2 35.5

6 22.5

8 25

QUINELLA

2,6 607.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,6 178.5

2,8 138

6,8 115.5

FORECAST

6,2 1,433

TIERCE

6,2,8 9,025

TRIO

2,6,8 1,326

FIRST 4

1,2,6,8 2,851

QUARTET

6,2,8,1 72,149

All pools (5 more)

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A2 38

A1 —

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

6,7,8/2,6,8 185,028

8TH DOUBLE

8/2 142

8/6 576.5

SIX UP

2,6/9,10/8,11/5,6/7,8/2,6 4,043

6/10/8/6/8/6 891,800

1 [Z Purton] —

TREBLE

6/8/2 1,287

6/8/6 4,458