Happy Valley · 2022-02-09 · 21:16
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2022-02-09 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. PARTY WARRIOR, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K W Lui, won by 1, with FLAMING PASSION second and EQUILIBRIUM TURBO third. Victory came as the 1.6 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | PARTY WARRIOR H 1.09.86 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 1 | 1.6 | 1 |
| 2 | 11 | FLAMING PASSION TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 5 | 6.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 10 | EQUILIBRIUM TURBO CP/H L Hewitson · R Gibson | L Hewitson | R Gibson | 8 | 85.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 7 | A SMILE LIKE YOURS A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 9 | 14.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 1 | DIAMOND BRILLIANT TT H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 3 | 22.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | THE CROWN TT D Moor · C Fownes | D Moor | C Fownes | 7 | 49.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 2 | TRANSCENDENT CP/TT K H Chan · A S Cruz | K H Chan | A S Cruz | 10 | 65.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 3 | GOLD CHEST CP/TT C L Chau · R Gibson | C L Chau | R Gibson | 2 | 20.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 5 | NAMJONG SINGS B K C Leung · C S Shum | K C Leung | C S Shum | 11 | 16.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | QUADRUPLE DOUBLE TT L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 6 | 9.7 | 6 |
| 11 | 4 | ALL IN MIND H-/CP/XB/TT R Maia · W Y So | R Maia | W Y So | 4 | 19.0 | 8-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | PARTY WARRIOR | 45.1% | 2.22 | 1 |
| 2 | 11 | FLAMING PASSION | 10.8% | 9.26 | 2 |
| 3 | 1 | DIAMOND BRILLIANT | 7.3% | 13.61 | 5 |
| 4 | 3 | GOLD CHEST | 6.5% | 15.27 | 8 |
| 5 | 7 | A SMILE LIKE YOURS | 6.2% | 16.04 | 4 |
| 6 | 5 | NAMJONG SINGS | 5.7% | 17.60 | 9 |
| 7 | 4 | ALL IN MIND | 5.3% | 18.72 | 11 |
| 8 | 9 | QUADRUPLE DOUBLE | 4.9% | 20.31 | 10 |
| 9 | 2 | TRANSCENDENT | 4.3% | 23.33 | 7 |
| 10 | 6 | THE CROWN | 2.8% | 36.24 | 6 |
| 11 | 10 | EQUILIBRIUM TURBO | 1.0% | 102.72 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 16
PLACE
8 10.5
10 162
11 19.5
QUINELLA
8,11 38.5
QUINELLA PLACE
8,10 234
8,11 21.5
10,11 547.5
FORECAST
8,11 50
TIERCE
8,11,10 1,975
TRIO
8,10,11 815
FIRST 4
7,8,10,11 1,156
QUARTET
8,11,10,7 10,647
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 12.5
A3 —
5TH DOUBLE
10/8 312.5
10/11 145