Happy Valley · 2022-02-09 · 21:46
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0 | SPICY GRILL B/TT K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 1 | 2.5 | 2-1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | KOKUSHI MUSOU H/TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 5 | 62.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | MERCURIAL H/TT A Hamelin · A S Cruz | A Hamelin | A S Cruz | 3 | 7.3 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | ICE LEGEND H/TT H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 11 | 15.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | FALCON TURBO B/TT C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 8 | 12.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | FIRE BALL B2/TT L Ferraris · C H Yip | L Ferraris | C H Yip | 10 | 62.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | PEAK TO PEAK B/TT L Hewitson · F C Lor | L Hewitson | F C Lor | 12 | 39.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | HANDSOME REBEL B K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 9 | 13.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | TAKINGUFURTHER V M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 6 | 25.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | INESTIMABLE B D Moor · D A Hayes | D Moor | D A Hayes | 2 | 7.3 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | BALTIC WHISPER TT K H Chan · C S Shum | K H Chan | C S Shum | 7 | 65.0 | 8-3/4 |
| — | 0 | LUCKY SWEYNESSE Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | — | 4.7 | 2-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2022-02-09 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. SPICY GRILL, ridden by K Teetan and trained by K W Lui, won by 2-1/2, with KOKUSHI MUSOU second and MERCURIAL third. Victory came as the 2.5 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SPICY GRILL | 25.5% | 3.92 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | LUCKY SWEYNESSE | 19.0% | 5.28 | — |
| 3 | 0 | FALCON TURBO | 10.8% | 9.24 | 6 |
| 4 | 0 | TAKINGUFURTHER | 10.1% | 9.91 | 10 |
| 5 | 0 | ICE LEGEND | 9.9% | 10.14 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | MERCURIAL | 7.2% | 13.82 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | BALTIC WHISPER | 4.0% | 25.03 | 12 |
| 8 | 0 | PEAK TO PEAK | 3.2% | 30.94 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | HANDSOME REBEL | 3.1% | 32.02 | 9 |
| 10 | 0 | FIRE BALL | 3.1% | 32.65 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | KOKUSHI MUSOU | 2.4% | 41.83 | 3 |
| 12 | 0 | INESTIMABLE | 1.7% | 58.53 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 47.5
PLACE
5 13
6 18.5
8 126
QUINELLA
5,6 61.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 26.5
5,8 221
6,8 401.5
FORECAST
6,5 131
TIERCE
6,5,8 3,437
TRIO
5,6,8 833
FIRST 4
1,5,6,8 1,228
QUARTET
6,5,8,1 22,775
All pools (5 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
8,10,11/5,6,8 58,129
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 16.5
6TH DOUBLE
8/5 10.5
8/6 88.5
TRIPLE TRIO
1,9,10/8,10,11/5,6,8 1,387,944
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,9,10/8,10,11/Any Combination 1,976