Happy Valley · 2022-02-09 · 19:16
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2022-02-09 was Class 5 over 2200m, run on GOOD going. FORTUNE PATROL, ridden by R Maia and trained by A T Millard, won by 1-1/2, with GO BALLISTIC second and WEALTHY EMPLOYEE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.9 favourite JOLLY FOREVER finished 10th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | FORTUNE PATROL Closed strongly B/H/XB 2.18.86 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 6 | 16.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 1 | GO BALLISTIC Closed strongly SR/TT L Ferraris · R Gibson | L Ferraris | R Gibson | 3 | 10.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 12 | WEALTHY EMPLOYEE B M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 2 | 22.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 11 | SMILING FACE Closed strongly SR/TT A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 10 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | WONDER WIN Closed strongly K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 12 | 7.3 | 3 |
| 6 | 4 | CROWN AVENUE B- C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 4 | 41.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 8 | GRAND POWER Led early A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 8 | 13.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 6 | LEGEND GOES Closed strongly B L Hewitson · P O'Sullivan | L Hewitson | P O'Sullivan | 9 | 42.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 7 | FORTUNE TRIPLE D Moor · Y S Tsui | D Moor | Y S Tsui | 1 | 5.3 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | JOLLY FOREVER XB/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 7 | 3.9 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 9 | ANONYMA SR-/XB1/TT2 K H Chan · A T Millard | K H Chan | A T Millard | 5 | 6.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 3 | SKY GEM P H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 11 | 16.0 | 8-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | JOLLY FOREVER | 18.2% | 5.51 | 10 |
| 2 | 4 | CROWN AVENUE | 12.6% | 7.94 | 6 |
| 3 | 1 | GO BALLISTIC | 12.0% | 8.31 | 2 |
| 4 | 7 | FORTUNE TRIPLE | 11.4% | 8.76 | 9 |
| 5 | 2 | WONDER WIN | 9.5% | 10.51 | 5 |
| 6 | 3 | SKY GEM | 7.4% | 13.57 | 12 |
| 7 | 11 | SMILING FACE | 6.3% | 15.93 | 4 |
| 8 | 8 | GRAND POWER | 5.8% | 17.26 | 7 |
| 9 | 9 | ANONYMA | 5.2% | 19.28 | 11 |
| 10 | 12 | WEALTHY EMPLOYEE | 4.8% | 20.85 | 3 |
| 11 | 6 | LEGEND GOES | 3.9% | 25.71 | 8 |
| 12 | 10 | FORTUNE PATROL | 3.0% | 33.77 | 1 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 167
PLACE
1 25
10 51.5
12 73
QUINELLA
1,10 1,321
QUINELLA PLACE
1,10 335.5
1,12 428
10,12 534
FORECAST
10,1 3,259
TIERCE
10,1,12 55,885
TRIO
1,10,12 7,558
FIRST 4
1,10,11,12 14,596
QUARTET
10,1,12,11 481,871
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
1/1 17.5
1/10 386
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 17
A1 —