沙田 · 2022-02-20 · 13:31
第 2場
2022-02-20沙田第2場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO YIELDING。由Z Purton策騎、K W Lui訓練的PACKING TREADMILL勝出，贏出HD。MELBOURNE HALL獲得亞軍；FUN N GLORY獲得季軍。3.9倍大熱門FUN N GLORY跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | PACKING TREADMILL SR1 1.10.87 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 2 | 9.9 | HD |
| 2 | 12 | MELBOURNE HALL H/XB M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 4 | 9.7 | HD |
| 3 | 8 | FUN N GLORY TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 1 | 3.9 | HD |
| 4 | 14 | ISLAND SURPRISE V Borges · K L Man | V Borges | K L Man | 5 | 38.0 | N |
| 5 | 10 | EL JEFE B/XB M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 6 | 9.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 5 | CHEERY D Moor · P F Yiu | D Moor | P F Yiu | 10 | 18.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 4 | AMAZING VICTORY H K Teetan · L Ho | K Teetan | L Ho | 7 | 8.1 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 9 | WHISKEY NEAT TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 13 | 14.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 2 | STREET SCREAM B/H/TT H Bentley · A S Cruz | H Bentley | A S Cruz | 12 | 13.0 | 3 |
| 10 | 13 | GIVE WAY PLEASE B1/TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 9 | 25.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 11 | 11 | JUDY'S STAR B L Hewitson · P O'Sullivan | L Hewitson | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 26.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 7 | RATTAN KINGDOM TT1 R Maia · R Gibson | R Maia | R Gibson | 11 | 12.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 13 | 1 | MY ECSTATIC TT C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 8 | 8.4 | 7-1/4 |
| 14 | 3 | SPARKLING DOLPHIN K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 14 | 49.0 | 23-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | PACKING TREADMILL | 28.2% | 3.54 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | FUN N GLORY | 11.0% | 9.07 | 3 |
| 3 | 12 | MELBOURNE HALL | 8.8% | 11.31 | 2 |
| 4 | 1 | MY ECSTATIC | 8.7% | 11.49 | 13 |
| 5 | 7 | RATTAN KINGDOM | 7.2% | 13.86 | 12 |
| 6 | 2 | STREET SCREAM | 7.0% | 14.22 | 9 |
| 7 | 10 | EL JEFE | 6.7% | 14.84 | 5 |
| 8 | 5 | CHEERY | 6.2% | 16.03 | 6 |
| 9 | 4 | AMAZING VICTORY | 5.7% | 17.40 | 7 |
| 10 | 3 | SPARKLING DOLPHIN | 3.4% | 29.84 | 14 |
| 11 | 9 | WHISKEY NEAT | 2.9% | 34.03 | 8 |
| 12 | 13 | GIVE WAY PLEASE | 2.2% | 44.96 | 10 |
| 13 | 11 | JUDY'S STAR | 0.9% | 110.33 | 11 |
| 14 | 14 | ISLAND SURPRISE | 0.8% | 121.74 | 4 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 99.5
PLACE
6 38
8 16
12 32
QUINELLA
6,12 610
QUINELLA PLACE
6,8 89
6,12 214
8,12 83
FORECAST
6,12 1,006
TIERCE
6,12,8 4,097
TRIO
6,8,12 728
FIRST 4
6,8,12,14 5,627
QUARTET
6,12,8,14 149,835
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
7/6 342.5
7/12 108
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 18.5
A1 —