沙田 · 2022-02-20 · 15:36
第 6場
2022-02-20沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD TO YIELDING。由A Badel策騎、J Size訓練的LEADING FORTUNE勝出，贏出2-1/2。RIGHT AS RAIN獲得亞軍；LOTUS FAVORITES獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.9倍大熱門LIGHT OF WANSHI跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | LEADING FORTUNE 後段發力 B 1.37.51 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 8 | 7.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 2 | 7 | RIGHT AS RAIN 後段發力 B K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 13 | 7.6 | 2-1/2 |
| 3 | 13 | LOTUS FAVORITES 後段發力 H L Hewitson · D J Hall | L Hewitson | D J Hall | 7 | 39.0 | 3 |
| 4 | 10 | TURQUOISE ALPHA 後段發力 CP/XB B Shinn · P O'Sullivan | B Shinn | P O'Sullivan | 10 | 21.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 2 | LIGHT OF WANSHI 後段發力 TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 3 | 2.9 | 4 |
| 6 | 4 | CITY LEGEND 後段發力 B/TT H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 4 | 17.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 9 | RED ELYSEES B/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 9 | 10.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 8 | 14 | MOONLUCK H- D Moor · K W Lui | D Moor | K W Lui | 5 | 40.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 9 | 1 | BEAUTY SPIRIT B/TT K H Chan · A S Cruz | K H Chan | A S Cruz | 2 | 12.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 10 | 6 | MISSION BRAVO 早段領放 B-/H/TT A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 12 | 83.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 11 | 8 | EMBARKED B/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 6 | 20.0 | 17 |
| 12 | 12 | CORDYCEPS TWO V Borges · C H Yip | V Borges | C H Yip | 14 | 7.5 | 18-1/2 |
| 13 | 11 | DRAGON COMMANDER B H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 1 | 54.0 | 22-3/4 |
| 14 | 5 | JOYFUL HEART B/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 11 | 16.0 | 32-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | LIGHT OF WANSHI | 26.5% | 3.78 | 5 |
| 2 | 3 | LEADING FORTUNE | 12.1% | 8.26 | 1 |
| 3 | 7 | RIGHT AS RAIN | 10.4% | 9.60 | 2 |
| 4 | 9 | RED ELYSEES | 10.1% | 9.94 | 7 |
| 5 | 5 | JOYFUL HEART | 7.6% | 13.22 | 14 |
| 6 | 10 | TURQUOISE ALPHA | 6.5% | 15.43 | 4 |
| 7 | 1 | BEAUTY SPIRIT | 6.2% | 16.24 | 9 |
| 8 | 12 | CORDYCEPS TWO | 5.2% | 19.09 | 12 |
| 9 | 4 | CITY LEGEND | 4.7% | 21.25 | 6 |
| 10 | 14 | MOONLUCK | 4.1% | 24.37 | 8 |
| 11 | 8 | EMBARKED | 2.9% | 34.31 | 11 |
| 12 | 11 | DRAGON COMMANDER | 1.9% | 52.26 | 13 |
| 13 | 6 | MISSION BRAVO | 0.9% | 105.96 | 10 |
| 14 | 13 | LOTUS FAVORITES | 0.9% | 108.04 | 3 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 70
PLACE
3 20.5
7 26.5
13 95.5
QUINELLA
3,7 227.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,7 78
3,13 439.5
7,13 357
FORECAST
3,7 545
TIERCE
3,7,13 15,714
TRIO
3,7,13 2,213
FIRST 4
3,7,10,13 10,243
QUARTET
3,7,13,10 193,028
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 20.5
A3 —
5TH DOUBLE
6/3 213.5
6/7 55.5
TRIPLE TRIO
3,9>1,10/1,6,10/3,7,13 9,563,522
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
3,9>1,10/1,6,10/Any Combination 4,382