沙田 · 2022-02-20 · 14:31
第 4場
2022-02-20沙田第4場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO YIELDING。由Z Purton策騎、P F Yiu訓練的VOYAGE BUBBLE勝出，贏出3。BRAVE DREAMS獲得亞軍；FORTUNE CARRIER獲得季軍。頭馬以1.7倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | VOYAGE BUBBLE 1.11.43 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · P F Yiu | Z Purton | P F Yiu | 12 | 1.7 | 3 |
| 2 | 3 | BRAVE DREAMS H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 7 | 18.0 | 3 |
| 3 | 9 | FORTUNE CARRIER B-/TT- D Moor · C S Shum | D Moor | C S Shum | 13 | 27.0 | 3 |
| 4 | 12 | ROYAL AGILITY B/TT2 L Hewitson · Y S Tsui | L Hewitson | Y S Tsui | 6 | 47.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | KING OF THE COURT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 3 | 5.9 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 5 | GALLANT HERO M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 1 | 22.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 6 | SPICY SKEWER R Maia · K L Man | R Maia | K L Man | 2 | 28.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 4 | FIERY FLYING K C Leung · A T Millard | K C Leung | A T Millard | 11 | 27.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 14 | INESTIMABLE B-/TT1 V Borges · D A Hayes | V Borges | D A Hayes | 5 | 34.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 13 | DRAGON BABY E/PC/TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 9 | 7.2 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 8 | VITRALITE SR-/XB B Shinn · P O'Sullivan | B Shinn | P O'Sullivan | 4 | 21.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 11 | NOIR RIDER B H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 10 | 78.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 13 | 7 | GOLD GOLD BABY XB-/B/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 8 | 50.0 | 11-1/2 |
| — | 10 | SUPER HIGHWAY H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | VOYAGE BUBBLE | 34.7% | 2.88 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | KING OF THE COURT | 20.1% | 4.98 | 5 |
| 3 | 13 | DRAGON BABY | 8.4% | 11.96 | 10 |
| 4 | 3 | BRAVE DREAMS | 5.3% | 18.99 | 2 |
| 5 | 6 | SPICY SKEWER | 5.2% | 19.14 | 7 |
| 6 | 8 | VITRALITE | 4.8% | 20.79 | 11 |
| 7 | 5 | GALLANT HERO | 4.7% | 21.33 | 6 |
| 8 | 9 | FORTUNE CARRIER | 4.7% | 21.50 | 3 |
| 9 | 4 | FIERY FLYING | 3.9% | 25.91 | 8 |
| 10 | 14 | INESTIMABLE | 2.8% | 35.76 | 9 |
| 11 | 7 | GOLD GOLD BABY | 2.4% | 41.96 | 13 |
| 12 | 11 | NOIR RIDER | 2.2% | 45.63 | 12 |
| 13 | 12 | ROYAL AGILITY | 1.0% | 98.71 | 4 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 17.5
PLACE
1 11.5
3 36.5
9 62.5
QUINELLA
1,3 164.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 63
1,9 96
3,9 488.5
FORECAST
1,3 180
TIERCE
1,3,9 3,712
TRIO
1,3,9 1,137
FIRST 4
1,3,9,12 8,852
QUARTET
1,3,9,12 72,388
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,4/3,9>1,10 29,121
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 13.5
3RD DOUBLE
4/1,10 163.5
4/3 140.5