沙田 · 2022-02-20 · 17:13
第 9場
2022-02-20沙田第9場，Class 3，途程1600米，跑道評為YIELDING。由L Ferraris策騎、A S Cruz訓練的MAJESTIC VICTORY勝出，贏出N。ZOOM BOOM獲得亞軍；KOWLOON GREAT獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.6倍大熱門CAPTAIN WIN跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | MAJESTIC VICTORY 後段發力 TT 1.38.31 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 4 | 45.0 | N |
| 2 | 12 | ZOOM BOOM 後段發力 B1 L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 5 | 24.0 | N |
| 3 | 14 | KOWLOON GREAT 後段發力 TT M L Yeung · C S Shum | M L Yeung | C S Shum | 11 | 107.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 3 | CROSSFORD 後段發力 H/P V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 14 | 9.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 1 | CAPTAIN WIN B1 Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 8 | 2.6 | 2 |
| 6 | 5 | PRIME MINISTER 後段發力 TT K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 2 | 4.5 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 7 | INFINITE POWER 早段領放 CP M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 12 | 9.9 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 6 | FABULOUSIO 後段發力 CP1/TT1 M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 6 | 52.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 8 | HELENE ALLIBOR B/TT D Moor · D A Hayes | D Moor | D A Hayes | 1 | 29.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 10 | CHEVALIER PRINCE CP C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 10 | 17.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 13 | ROYAL PRIDE 後段發力 B-/V1/TT K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 9 | 10.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 11 | EZRA B R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 7 | 15.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 13 | 2 | PEGASUS GENERAL CP H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 13 | 61.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 14 | 4 | ENTRUSTED CP/TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 3 | 20.0 | 13-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | CAPTAIN WIN | 27.4% | 3.65 | 5 |
| 2 | 3 | CROSSFORD | 13.5% | 7.39 | 4 |
| 3 | 7 | INFINITE POWER | 11.8% | 8.49 | 7 |
| 4 | 4 | ENTRUSTED | 9.9% | 10.08 | 14 |
| 5 | 5 | PRIME MINISTER | 9.3% | 10.76 | 6 |
| 6 | 11 | EZRA | 6.3% | 15.87 | 12 |
| 7 | 8 | HELENE ALLIBOR | 4.8% | 20.62 | 9 |
| 8 | 10 | CHEVALIER PRINCE | 4.8% | 20.89 | 10 |
| 9 | 13 | ROYAL PRIDE | 3.6% | 27.42 | 11 |
| 10 | 14 | KOWLOON GREAT | 2.3% | 44.28 | 3 |
| 11 | 2 | PEGASUS GENERAL | 2.1% | 48.38 | 13 |
| 12 | 9 | MAJESTIC VICTORY | 1.7% | 57.65 | 1 |
| 13 | 12 | ZOOM BOOM | 1.7% | 58.80 | 2 |
| 14 | 6 | FABULOUSIO | 0.7% | 139.59 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 455.5
PLACE
9 106
12 55.5
14 184
QUINELLA
9,12 4,118.5
QUINELLA PLACE
9,12 952
9,14 1,973
12,14 2,123.5
FORECAST
9,12 4,929
TIERCE
9,12,14 313,070
TRIO
9,12,14 62,494
FIRST 4
3,9,12,14 64,440
QUARTET
9,12,14,3 1,337,676
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 23.5
8TH DOUBLE
4/9 2,065.5
4/12 181.5