Sha Tin · 2022-02-20 · 17:13
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2022-02-20 was Class 3 over 1600m, run on YIELDING going. MAJESTIC VICTORY, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by A S Cruz, won by N, with ZOOM BOOM second and KOWLOON GREAT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.6 favourite CAPTAIN WIN finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | MAJESTIC VICTORY Closed strongly TT 1.38.31 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 4 | 45.0 | N |
| 2 | 12 | ZOOM BOOM Closed strongly B1 L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 5 | 24.0 | N |
| 3 | 14 | KOWLOON GREAT Closed strongly TT M L Yeung · C S Shum | M L Yeung | C S Shum | 11 | 107.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 3 | CROSSFORD Closed strongly H/P V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 14 | 9.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 1 | CAPTAIN WIN B1 Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 8 | 2.6 | 2 |
| 6 | 5 | PRIME MINISTER Closed strongly TT K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 2 | 4.5 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 7 | INFINITE POWER Led early CP M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 12 | 9.9 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 6 | FABULOUSIO Closed strongly CP1/TT1 M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 6 | 52.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 8 | HELENE ALLIBOR B/TT D Moor · D A Hayes | D Moor | D A Hayes | 1 | 29.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 10 | CHEVALIER PRINCE CP C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 10 | 17.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 13 | ROYAL PRIDE Closed strongly B-/V1/TT K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 9 | 10.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 11 | EZRA B R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 7 | 15.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 13 | 2 | PEGASUS GENERAL CP H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 13 | 61.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 14 | 4 | ENTRUSTED CP/TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 3 | 20.0 | 13-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | CAPTAIN WIN | 27.4% | 3.65 | 5 |
| 2 | 3 | CROSSFORD | 13.5% | 7.39 | 4 |
| 3 | 7 | INFINITE POWER | 11.8% | 8.49 | 7 |
| 4 | 4 | ENTRUSTED | 9.9% | 10.08 | 14 |
| 5 | 5 | PRIME MINISTER | 9.3% | 10.76 | 6 |
| 6 | 11 | EZRA | 6.3% | 15.87 | 12 |
| 7 | 8 | HELENE ALLIBOR | 4.8% | 20.62 | 9 |
| 8 | 10 | CHEVALIER PRINCE | 4.8% | 20.89 | 10 |
| 9 | 13 | ROYAL PRIDE | 3.6% | 27.42 | 11 |
| 10 | 14 | KOWLOON GREAT | 2.3% | 44.28 | 3 |
| 11 | 2 | PEGASUS GENERAL | 2.1% | 48.38 | 13 |
| 12 | 9 | MAJESTIC VICTORY | 1.7% | 57.65 | 1 |
| 13 | 12 | ZOOM BOOM | 1.7% | 58.80 | 2 |
| 14 | 6 | FABULOUSIO | 0.7% | 139.59 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 455.5
PLACE
9 106
12 55.5
14 184
QUINELLA
9,12 4,118.5
QUINELLA PLACE
9,12 952
9,14 1,973
12,14 2,123.5
FORECAST
9,12 4,929
TIERCE
9,12,14 313,070
TRIO
9,12,14 62,494
FIRST 4
3,9,12,14 64,440
QUARTET
9,12,14,3 1,337,676
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 23.5
8TH DOUBLE
4/9 2,065.5
4/12 181.5