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Sha Tin · 2022-02-20 · 17:13

Race 9

Class 3 YIELDING 1600m Course A 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.38.31
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 MAJESTIC VICTORY Closed strongly TT 1.38.31 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · A S Cruz 4 45.0 N
2 0 ZOOM BOOM Closed strongly B1 L Hewitson · D J Whyte 5 24.0 N
3 0 KOWLOON GREAT Closed strongly TT M L Yeung · C S Shum 11 107.0 1
4 0 CROSSFORD Closed strongly H/P V Borges · J Size 14 9.4 1-3/4
5 0 CAPTAIN WIN B1 Z Purton · D J Hall 8 2.6 2
6 0 PRIME MINISTER Closed strongly TT K C Leung · P F Yiu 2 4.5 2-3/4
7 0 INFINITE POWER Led early CP M F Poon · F C Lor 12 9.9 3-1/4
8 0 FABULOUSIO Closed strongly CP1/TT1 M Chadwick · C H Yip 6 52.0 3-1/4
9 0 HELENE ALLIBOR B/TT D Moor · D A Hayes 1 29.0 5
10 0 CHEVALIER PRINCE CP C Y Ho · F C Lor 10 17.0 6-1/4
11 0 ROYAL PRIDE Closed strongly B-/V1/TT K Teetan · C Fownes 9 10.0 6-1/2
12 0 EZRA B R Maia · A T Millard 7 15.0 7-3/4
13 0 PEGASUS GENERAL CP H Bentley · K H Ting 13 61.0 8-1/4
14 0 ENTRUSTED CP/TT A Badel · W Y So 3 20.0 13-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2022-02-20 was Class 3 over 1600m, run on YIELDING going. MAJESTIC VICTORY, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by A S Cruz, won by N, with ZOOM BOOM second and KOWLOON GREAT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.6 favourite CAPTAIN WIN finished 5th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. MAJESTIC VICTORY—2. ZOOM BOOM+0.05L3. KOWLOON GREAT+1L4. CROSSFORD+1.75L5. CAPTAIN WIN+2L6. PRIME MINISTER+2.75L7. INFINITE POWER+3.25L8. FABULOUSIO+3.25L9. HELENE ALLIBOR+5L10. CHEVALIER PRINCE+6.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick CAPTAIN WIN (27.4%) finished 5th — the winner MAJESTIC VICTORY was rated #12. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 CAPTAIN WIN 27.4% 3.65 5
2 0 CROSSFORD 13.5% 7.39 4
3 0 INFINITE POWER 11.8% 8.49 7
4 0 ENTRUSTED 9.9% 10.08 14
5 0 PRIME MINISTER 9.3% 10.76 6
6 0 EZRA 6.3% 15.87 12
7 0 HELENE ALLIBOR 4.8% 20.62 9
8 0 CHEVALIER PRINCE 4.8% 20.89 10
9 0 ROYAL PRIDE 3.6% 27.42 11
10 0 KOWLOON GREAT 2.3% 44.28 3
11 0 PEGASUS GENERAL 2.1% 48.38 13
12 0 MAJESTIC VICTORY 1.7% 57.65 1
13 0 ZOOM BOOM 1.7% 58.80 2
14 0 FABULOUSIO 0.7% 139.59 8
CAPTAIN WINCROSSFORDINFINITE POWERENTRUSTEDPRIME MINISTEREZRAHELENE ALLIBORCHEVALIER PRINCEROYAL PRIDEKOWLOON GREATPEGASUS GENERALMAJESTIC VICTORY — wonZOOM BOOMFABULOUSIO

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

9 455.5

PLACE

9 106

12 55.5

14 184

QUINELLA

9,12 4,118.5

QUINELLA PLACE

9,12 952

9,14 1,973

12,14 2,123.5

FORECAST

9,12 4,929

TIERCE

9,12,14 313,070

TRIO

9,12,14 62,494

FIRST 4

3,9,12,14 64,440

QUARTET

9,12,14,3 1,337,676

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A3 23.5

A1 —

8TH DOUBLE

4/9 2,065.5

4/12 181.5