Sha Tin · 2022-02-20 · 16:38
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2022-02-20 was Group 1 over 2000m, run on YIELDING going. RUSSIAN EMPEROR, ridden by B Shinn and trained by D J Whyte, won by 4-1/4, with SAVVY NINE second and GOLDEN SIXTY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 1.4 favourite GOLDEN SIXTY finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | RUSSIAN EMPEROR Closed strongly B 2.04.11 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Shinn · D J Whyte | B Shinn | D J Whyte | 9 | 6.5 | 4-1/4 |
| 2 | 10 | SAVVY NINE Closed strongly B/XB M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 3 | 57.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 3 | 1 | GOLDEN SIXTY Closed strongly C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 10 | 1.4 | 5-1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | TOURBILLON DIAMOND Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 6 | 19.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | MORE THAN THIS Closed strongly Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 2 | 7.6 | 8 |
| 6 | 11 | ZEBROWSKI TT M F Poon · C Fownes | M F Poon | C Fownes | 5 | 18.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 7 | 9 | BUTTERFIELD Closed strongly TT V Borges · C S Shum | V Borges | C S Shum | 8 | 56.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 8 | 8 | RELIABLE TEAM Led early B H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 1 | 56.0 | 14-3/4 |
| 9 | 3 | PANFIELD B1/TT K C Leung · A T Millard | K C Leung | A T Millard | 7 | 42.0 | 25 |
| — | 5 | SKY DARCI V/TT K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 4 | 26.0 | — |
| — | 7 | COLUMBUS COUNTY D Moor · C Fownes | D Moor | C Fownes | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | MORE THAN THIS | 25.0% | 4.00 | 5 |
| 2 | 1 | GOLDEN SIXTY | 23.0% | 4.34 | 3 |
| 3 | 11 | ZEBROWSKI | 18.0% | 5.56 | 6 |
| 4 | 6 | TOURBILLON DIAMOND | 10.5% | 9.51 | 4 |
| 5 | 4 | RUSSIAN EMPEROR | 7.1% | 14.05 | 1 |
| 6 | 10 | SAVVY NINE | 6.5% | 15.30 | 2 |
| 7 | 8 | RELIABLE TEAM | 4.0% | 25.22 | 8 |
| 8 | 9 | BUTTERFIELD | 3.1% | 32.74 | 7 |
| 9 | 3 | PANFIELD | 2.8% | 36.05 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 65
PLACE
1 10.5
4 15.5
10 75.5
QUINELLA
4,10 1,587.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 19
1,10 74
4,10 245
FORECAST
4,10 1,917
TIERCE
4,10,1 5,507
TRIO
1,4,10 429
FIRST 4
1,4,6,10 649
QUARTET
4,10,1,6 33,301
All pools (3 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 31
7TH DOUBLE
5/4 401
5/10 685.5
WINNING TRAINER
B3 58.5
B4 —
B1 —
B2 —