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Sha Tin · 2022-02-20 · 16:38

Race 8

Group 1 YIELDING 2000m Course A 9 runners

Result

Official · 2.04.11
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 RUSSIAN EMPEROR Closed strongly B 2.04.11 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Shinn · D J Whyte 9 6.5 4-1/4
2 0 SAVVY NINE Closed strongly B/XB M Chadwick · D J Whyte 3 57.0 4-1/4
3 0 GOLDEN SIXTY Closed strongly C Y Ho · K W Lui 10 1.4 5-1/2
4 0 TOURBILLON DIAMOND Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · C S Shum 6 19.0 6-1/4
5 0 MORE THAN THIS Closed strongly Z Purton · C S Shum 2 7.6 8
6 0 ZEBROWSKI TT M F Poon · C Fownes 5 18.0 8-1/2
7 0 BUTTERFIELD Closed strongly TT V Borges · C S Shum 8 56.0 10-1/4
8 0 RELIABLE TEAM Led early B H Bentley · F C Lor 1 56.0 14-3/4
9 0 PANFIELD B1/TT K C Leung · A T Millard 7 42.0 25
— 0 COLUMBUS COUNTY D Moor · C Fownes — — —
— 0 SKY DARCI V/TT K Teetan · C Fownes 4 26.0 —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2022-02-20 was Group 1 over 2000m, run on YIELDING going. RUSSIAN EMPEROR, ridden by B Shinn and trained by D J Whyte, won by 4-1/4, with SAVVY NINE second and GOLDEN SIXTY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 1.4 favourite GOLDEN SIXTY finished 3rd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. RUSSIAN EMPEROR—2. SAVVY NINE+4.25L3. GOLDEN SIXTY+5.5L4. TOURBILLON DIAMOND+6.25L5. MORE THAN THIS+8L6. ZEBROWSKI+8.5L7. BUTTERFIELD+10.25L8. RELIABLE TEAM+14.75L9. PANFIELD+25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick MORE THAN THIS (25.0%) finished 5th — the winner RUSSIAN EMPEROR was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 MORE THAN THIS 25.0% 4.00 5
2 0 GOLDEN SIXTY 23.0% 4.34 3
3 0 ZEBROWSKI 18.0% 5.56 6
4 0 TOURBILLON DIAMOND 10.5% 9.51 4
5 0 RUSSIAN EMPEROR 7.1% 14.05 1
6 0 SAVVY NINE 6.5% 15.30 2
7 0 RELIABLE TEAM 4.0% 25.22 8
8 0 BUTTERFIELD 3.1% 32.74 7
9 0 PANFIELD 2.8% 36.05 9
MORE THAN THISGOLDEN SIXTYZEBROWSKITOURBILLON DIAMONDRUSSIAN EMPEROR — wonSAVVY NINERELIABLE TEAMBUTTERFIELDPANFIELD

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

4 65

PLACE

1 10.5

4 15.5

10 75.5

QUINELLA

4,10 1,587.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,4 19

1,10 74

4,10 245

FORECAST

4,10 1,917

TIERCE

4,10,1 5,507

TRIO

1,4,10 429

FIRST 4

1,4,6,10 649

QUARTET

4,10,1,6 33,301

All pools (3 more)

3 PICK 1

A2 31

A1 —

A3 —

7TH DOUBLE

5/4 401

5/10 685.5

WINNING TRAINER

B3 58.5

B4 —

B1 —

B2 —