Sha Tin · 2022-02-20 · 16:06
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2022-02-20 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on YIELDING going. GALLANT EXPRESS, ridden by A Hamelin and trained by J Size, won by 3/4, with SUPER FORTUNE second and COPARTNER FIONN third. The 2.5 favourite FIVE ELEMENTS finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | GALLANT EXPRESS E/P1 1.11.34 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 5 | 7.7 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 12 | SUPER FORTUNE CP-/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 1 | 3.9 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 6 | COPARTNER FIONN V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 9 | 75.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 3 | OUR LUCKY GLORY SR1 L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 2 | 98.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 9 | KUMASI C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 8 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | FIVE ELEMENTS CP-/V1 Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 4 | 2.5 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 8 | RIVER VIEWS TT L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 13 | 124.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 10 | QUADRUPLE DOUBLE TT M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 6 | 22.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 11 | REVE PARISIEN M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 45.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 10 | 4 | READY TO WIN CP/XB/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 11 | 6.9 | 9 |
| 11 | 13 | HARMONY N HOME A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 10 | 23.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 12 | 7 | MIGHTY VALOR V1/TT- R Maia · P F Yiu | R Maia | P F Yiu | 12 | 27.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 13 | 1 | SPARKLING DRAGON TT D Moor · A T Millard | D Moor | A T Millard | 7 | 76.0 | 15-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | SUPER FORTUNE | 27.2% | 3.68 | 2 |
| 2 | 5 | GALLANT EXPRESS | 20.7% | 4.83 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | FIVE ELEMENTS | 20.3% | 4.93 | 6 |
| 4 | 9 | KUMASI | 8.0% | 12.58 | 5 |
| 5 | 4 | READY TO WIN | 7.3% | 13.71 | 10 |
| 6 | 10 | QUADRUPLE DOUBLE | 4.9% | 20.36 | 8 |
| 7 | 13 | HARMONY N HOME | 2.6% | 38.86 | 11 |
| 8 | 11 | REVE PARISIEN | 2.4% | 40.92 | 9 |
| 9 | 1 | SPARKLING DRAGON | 1.9% | 53.01 | 13 |
| 10 | 6 | COPARTNER FIONN | 1.5% | 65.30 | 3 |
| 11 | 3 | OUR LUCKY GLORY | 1.5% | 68.75 | 4 |
| 12 | 7 | MIGHTY VALOR | 1.4% | 69.16 | 12 |
| 13 | 8 | RIVER VIEWS | 0.4% | 258.00 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 77.5
PLACE
5 21.5
6 160
12 15.5
QUINELLA
5,12 114
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 521.5
5,12 41.5
6,12 463
FORECAST
5,12 337
TIERCE
5,12,6 13,609
TRIO
5,6,12 3,344
FIRST 4
3,5,6,12 13,552
QUARTET
5,12,6,3 185,949
All pools (3 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
3,7,13/5,6,12 560,802
3 PICK 1
A2 27.5
A1 —
A3 —
6TH DOUBLE
3/5 418.5
3/12 36