Sha Tin · 2022-02-20 · 15:03
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MILLENNIUM FALCON Closed strongly H 1.24.47 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 2 | 4.6 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | LIFELINE VISION Closed strongly C Y Ho · D A Hayes | C Y Ho | D A Hayes | 3 | 15.0 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | FREE FOAL CP Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 10 | 3.1 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | MOERAKI Closed strongly B B Shinn · C W Chang | B Shinn | C W Chang | 12 | 23.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | SCIENCE PATCH Closed strongly B K Teetan · P O'Sullivan | K Teetan | P O'Sullivan | 1 | 11.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | NOBLE BOYZ Closed strongly SR/TT M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 5 | 30.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | FANTASTIC SHOW Closed strongly B K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 11 | 27.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | SALUTATION Led early V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 8 | 14.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | LOVE ME MORE Closed strongly CP1 R Maia · P F Yiu | R Maia | P F Yiu | 13 | 29.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | NOBLE STEED Closed strongly B D Moor · K W Lui | D Moor | K W Lui | 6 | 21.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | PRIDE OF DRAGON B1 K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 9 | 20.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | YOUNG PASSION CP1 L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 4 | 132.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | LADY FIRST CP/H/XB/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 7 | 9.3 | 8-1/4 |
| 14 | 0 | SUPER WIN DRAGON V1/TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 14 | 10.0 | 9-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2022-02-20 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. MILLENNIUM FALCON, ridden by H Bentley and trained by T P Yung, won by 2, with LIFELINE VISION second and FREE FOAL third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite FREE FOAL finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MILLENNIUM FALCON | 18.8% | 5.33 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | FREE FOAL | 13.2% | 7.57 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | SALUTATION | 11.9% | 8.42 | 8 |
| 4 | 0 | SUPER WIN DRAGON | 9.1% | 10.95 | 14 |
| 5 | 0 | SCIENCE PATCH | 9.0% | 11.13 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | LIFELINE VISION | 6.6% | 15.07 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | NOBLE STEED | 6.4% | 15.52 | 10 |
| 8 | 0 | LADY FIRST | 6.2% | 16.15 | 13 |
| 9 | 0 | PRIDE OF DRAGON | 4.5% | 22.33 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | LOVE ME MORE | 4.2% | 23.97 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | MOERAKI | 4.0% | 25.06 | 4 |
| 12 | 0 | NOBLE BOYZ | 2.7% | 37.30 | 6 |
| 13 | 0 | FANTASTIC SHOW | 2.1% | 46.85 | 7 |
| 14 | 0 | YOUNG PASSION | 1.3% | 76.50 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 46.5
PLACE
1 40
6 16
10 15
QUINELLA
1,6 343.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 103
1,10 84.5
6,10 37
FORECAST
6,1 492
TIERCE
6,1,10 2,376
TRIO
1,6,10 383
FIRST 4
1,6,7,10 2,006
QUARTET
6,1,10,7 41,083
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 18.5
4TH DOUBLE
1,10/1 47.5
1,10/6 105.5