Sha Tin · 2022-02-20 · 14:31
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0 | BRAVE DREAMS H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 7 | 18.0 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | FORTUNE CARRIER B-/TT- D Moor · C S Shum | D Moor | C S Shum | 13 | 27.0 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | ROYAL AGILITY B/TT2 L Hewitson · Y S Tsui | L Hewitson | Y S Tsui | 6 | 47.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | KING OF THE COURT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 3 | 5.9 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | GALLANT HERO M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 1 | 22.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | SPICY SKEWER R Maia · K L Man | R Maia | K L Man | 2 | 28.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | FIERY FLYING K C Leung · A T Millard | K C Leung | A T Millard | 11 | 27.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | INESTIMABLE B-/TT1 V Borges · D A Hayes | V Borges | D A Hayes | 5 | 34.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | DRAGON BABY E/PC/TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 9 | 7.2 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | VITRALITE SR-/XB B Shinn · P O'Sullivan | B Shinn | P O'Sullivan | 4 | 21.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | NOIR RIDER B H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 10 | 78.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | GOLD GOLD BABY XB-/B/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 8 | 50.0 | 11-1/2 |
| — | 0 | VOYAGE BUBBLE Z Purton · P F Yiu | Z Purton | P F Yiu | — | 1.7 | 3 |
| — | 0 | SUPER HIGHWAY H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2022-02-20 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. BRAVE DREAMS, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by A S Cruz, won by 3, with FORTUNE CARRIER second and ROYAL AGILITY third. The 1.7 favourite VOYAGE BUBBLE did not finish.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | VOYAGE BUBBLE | 34.7% | 2.88 | — |
| 2 | 0 | KING OF THE COURT | 20.1% | 4.98 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | DRAGON BABY | 8.4% | 11.96 | 10 |
| 4 | 0 | BRAVE DREAMS | 5.3% | 18.99 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | SPICY SKEWER | 5.2% | 19.14 | 7 |
| 6 | 0 | VITRALITE | 4.8% | 20.79 | 11 |
| 7 | 0 | GALLANT HERO | 4.7% | 21.33 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | FORTUNE CARRIER | 4.7% | 21.50 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | FIERY FLYING | 3.9% | 25.91 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | INESTIMABLE | 2.8% | 35.76 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | GOLD GOLD BABY | 2.4% | 41.96 | 13 |
| 12 | 0 | NOIR RIDER | 2.2% | 45.63 | 12 |
| 13 | 0 | ROYAL AGILITY | 1.0% | 98.71 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 17.5
PLACE
1 11.5
3 36.5
9 62.5
QUINELLA
1,3 164.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 63
1,9 96
3,9 488.5
FORECAST
1,3 180
TIERCE
1,3,9 3,712
TRIO
1,3,9 1,137
FIRST 4
1,3,9,12 8,852
QUARTET
1,3,9,12 72,388
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,4/3,9>1,10 29,121
3 PICK 1
A1 13.5
A2 —
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE
4/1,10 163.5
4/3 140.5