Sha Tin · 2022-02-20 · 15:36
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LEADING FORTUNE Closed strongly B 1.37.51 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 8 | 7.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | RIGHT AS RAIN Closed strongly B K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 13 | 7.6 | 2-1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | LOTUS FAVORITES Closed strongly H L Hewitson · D J Hall | L Hewitson | D J Hall | 7 | 39.0 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | TURQUOISE ALPHA Closed strongly CP/XB B Shinn · P O'Sullivan | B Shinn | P O'Sullivan | 10 | 21.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | LIGHT OF WANSHI Closed strongly TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 3 | 2.9 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | CITY LEGEND Closed strongly B/TT H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 4 | 17.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | RED ELYSEES B/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 9 | 10.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | MOONLUCK H- D Moor · K W Lui | D Moor | K W Lui | 5 | 40.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | BEAUTY SPIRIT B/TT K H Chan · A S Cruz | K H Chan | A S Cruz | 2 | 12.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | MISSION BRAVO Led early B-/H/TT A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 12 | 83.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | EMBARKED B/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 6 | 20.0 | 17 |
| 12 | 0 | CORDYCEPS TWO V Borges · C H Yip | V Borges | C H Yip | 14 | 7.5 | 18-1/2 |
| 13 | 0 | DRAGON COMMANDER B H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 1 | 54.0 | 22-3/4 |
| 14 | 0 | JOYFUL HEART B/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 11 | 16.0 | 32-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2022-02-20 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. LEADING FORTUNE, ridden by A Badel and trained by J Size, won by 2-1/2, with RIGHT AS RAIN second and LOTUS FAVORITES third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.9 favourite LIGHT OF WANSHI finished 5th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LIGHT OF WANSHI | 26.5% | 3.78 | 5 |
| 2 | 0 | LEADING FORTUNE | 12.1% | 8.26 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | RIGHT AS RAIN | 10.4% | 9.60 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | RED ELYSEES | 10.1% | 9.94 | 7 |
| 5 | 0 | JOYFUL HEART | 7.6% | 13.22 | 14 |
| 6 | 0 | TURQUOISE ALPHA | 6.5% | 15.43 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | BEAUTY SPIRIT | 6.2% | 16.24 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | CORDYCEPS TWO | 5.2% | 19.09 | 12 |
| 9 | 0 | CITY LEGEND | 4.7% | 21.25 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | MOONLUCK | 4.1% | 24.37 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | EMBARKED | 2.9% | 34.31 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | DRAGON COMMANDER | 1.9% | 52.26 | 13 |
| 13 | 0 | MISSION BRAVO | 0.9% | 105.96 | 10 |
| 14 | 0 | LOTUS FAVORITES | 0.9% | 108.04 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 70
PLACE
3 20.5
7 26.5
13 95.5
QUINELLA
3,7 227.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,7 78
3,13 439.5
7,13 357
FORECAST
3,7 545
TIERCE
3,7,13 15,714
TRIO
3,7,13 2,213
FIRST 4
3,7,10,13 10,243
QUARTET
3,7,13,10 193,028
All pools (4 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 20.5
5TH DOUBLE
6/3 213.5
6/7 55.5
TRIPLE TRIO
3,9>1,10/1,6,10/3,7,13 9,563,522
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
3,9>1,10/1,6,10/Any Combination 4,382