Sha Tin · 2022-02-20 · 14:01
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | WELLINGTON Closed strongly CP-/XB 1.23.53 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 1 | 6.6 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | KA YING STAR Closed strongly V/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 8 | 14.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | WAIKUKU Closed strongly Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 3 | 2.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | SKY FIELD TT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 7 | 3.6 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | CALIFORNIADEEPSHOT Led early CP/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 2 | 5.6 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | MIGHTY GIANT Closed strongly B K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 5 | 22.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | LUCKY EXPRESS E/TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 6 | 19.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | HEALTHY HAPPY V/TT H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 4 | 22.0 | 4-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2022-02-20 was Group 1 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. WELLINGTON, ridden by A Badel and trained by R Gibson, won by 3/4, with KA YING STAR second and WAIKUKU third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.5 favourite WAIKUKU finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | WAIKUKU | 35.3% | 2.83 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | CALIFORNIADEEPSHOT | 14.7% | 6.82 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | SKY FIELD | 12.2% | 8.17 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | WELLINGTON | 12.2% | 8.22 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | HEALTHY HAPPY | 8.3% | 12.04 | 8 |
| 6 | 0 | KA YING STAR | 7.1% | 14.13 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | LUCKY EXPRESS | 6.1% | 16.33 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | MIGHTY GIANT | 4.1% | 24.15 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 66.5
PLACE
1 11.5
2 42.5
4 18
QUINELLA
2,4 490
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 63
1,4 32
2,4 134
FORECAST
4,2 967
TIERCE
4,2,1 2,605
TRIO
1,2,4 331
FIRST 4
1,2,3,4 93
QUARTET
4,2,1,3 4,188
All pools (3 more)
2ND DOUBLE
6/2 264.5
6/4 782
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 37
A1 —
WINNING TRAINER
B3 —
B4 42
B1 —
B2 —