Sha Tin · 2022-02-20 · 17:48
Race 10
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2022-02-20 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on YIELDING going. CHARITY GRACE, ridden by M F Poon and trained by C S Shum, won by 1-3/4, with COPARTNER AMBITION second and OSCAR GLORY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.4 favourite COPARTNER AMBITION finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | CHARITY GRACE Closed strongly B 1.24.27 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 14 | 11.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 3 | COPARTNER AMBITION Closed strongly CP/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 11 | 2.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 13 | OSCAR GLORY CP M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 13 | 6.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 4 | 6 | DRAGON FORTUNE Closed strongly TT H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 1 | 12.0 | 4 |
| 5 | 4 | SUPER TEN CP-/XB/B2 B Shinn · D J Whyte | B Shinn | D J Whyte | 5 | 10.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 5 | SUPER DYNAMITE A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 12 | 8.0 | 6 |
| 7 | 10 | LUCKY GOLD B/H D Moor · K W Lui | D Moor | K W Lui | 3 | 50.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 8 | 2 | THE HULK Closed strongly K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 2 | 13.0 | 7 |
| 9 | 1 | CONGRATULATION Closed strongly K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 6 | 41.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 9 | STOICISM L Ferraris · R Gibson | L Ferraris | R Gibson | 9 | 39.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 11 | 14 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY Led early M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 10 | 22.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 12 | 7 | BEAUTY NOVA Closed strongly V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 8 | 44.0 | 13-1/2 |
| 13 | 11 | KASI FARASI TT A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 4 | 34.0 | 14-1/4 |
| 14 | 12 | NOWITZKI H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 7 | 59.0 | 17-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | COPARTNER AMBITION | 21.8% | 4.59 | 2 |
| 2 | 13 | OSCAR GLORY | 14.3% | 6.97 | 3 |
| 3 | 8 | CHARITY GRACE | 10.5% | 9.49 | 1 |
| 4 | 2 | THE HULK | 10.3% | 9.67 | 8 |
| 5 | 5 | SUPER DYNAMITE | 8.4% | 11.85 | 6 |
| 6 | 4 | SUPER TEN | 8.2% | 12.19 | 5 |
| 7 | 6 | DRAGON FORTUNE | 5.7% | 17.51 | 4 |
| 8 | 9 | STOICISM | 4.1% | 24.25 | 10 |
| 9 | 7 | BEAUTY NOVA | 4.1% | 24.47 | 12 |
| 10 | 1 | CONGRATULATION | 3.8% | 26.06 | 9 |
| 11 | 11 | KASI FARASI | 3.0% | 32.89 | 13 |
| 12 | 14 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY | 2.2% | 46.03 | 11 |
| 13 | 12 | NOWITZKI | 1.8% | 56.35 | 14 |
| 14 | 10 | LUCKY GOLD | 1.6% | 62.25 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 117.5
PLACE
3 14
8 28.5
13 20.5
QUINELLA
3,8 118.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,8 52
3,13 36
8,13 99
FORECAST
8,3 361
TIERCE
8,3,13 1,712
TRIO
3,8,13 183
FIRST 4
3,6,8,13 712
QUARTET
8,3,13,6 18,402
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 24
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
9,12,14/F 99,239
9TH DOUBLE
9/3 241.5
9/8 6,106
SIX UP
1,6/3,7/5,12/4,10/9,12/3,8 69,923
6/3/5/4/9/8 12,546,585
1 [Z Purton] —
TREBLE
4/9/3 1,789
4/9/8 22,283