沙田 · 2022-02-27 · 17:48
第 10場
2022-02-27沙田第10場，Class 2，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由B Shinn策騎、R Gibson訓練的CORDYCEPS SIX勝出，贏出1-1/4。BLAZE WARRIOR獲得亞軍；TRILLION WIN獲得季軍。2.9倍大熱門FANTASTIC WAY跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | CORDYCEPS SIX B 1.09.17 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） B Shinn · R Gibson | B Shinn | R Gibson | 10 | 5.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 6 | BLAZE WARRIOR B/TT M L Yeung · J Size | M L Yeung | J Size | 13 | 24.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 1 | TRILLION WIN CP A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 6 | 11.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 4 | FANTASTIC WAY J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 5 | 2.9 | 2 |
| 5 | 9 | CALIFORNIA RAD B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 2 | 8.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 12 | WINNING METHOD TT M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 12 | 17.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 10 | STOLTZ CP Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 3 | 3.8 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 2 | WINNING DREAMER TT C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 14 | 49.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 13 | KA YING MASTER TT D Moor · T P Yung | D Moor | T P Yung | 4 | 76.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 14 | WIND N GRASS TT H Bentley · C W Chang | H Bentley | C W Chang | 11 | 155.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 11 | CZARSON CP/TT V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 1 | 16.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 3 | SILVER FIG B/TT A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 9 | 109.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 13 | 5 | BAND OF BROTHERS V C L Chau · P O'Sullivan | C L Chau | P O'Sullivan | 7 | 48.0 | 7 |
| 14 | 7 | CLASSIC UNICORN TT K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 8 | 117.0 | 11 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | STOLTZ | 41.3% | 2.42 | 7 |
| 2 | 4 | FANTASTIC WAY | 15.8% | 6.35 | 4 |
| 3 | 8 | CORDYCEPS SIX | 11.8% | 8.46 | 1 |
| 4 | 11 | CZARSON | 6.7% | 14.82 | 11 |
| 5 | 12 | WINNING METHOD | 5.0% | 19.91 | 6 |
| 6 | 1 | TRILLION WIN | 3.8% | 26.40 | 3 |
| 7 | 2 | WINNING DREAMER | 3.6% | 27.86 | 8 |
| 8 | 9 | CALIFORNIA RAD | 3.3% | 30.57 | 5 |
| 9 | 5 | BAND OF BROTHERS | 1.8% | 54.40 | 13 |
| 10 | 13 | KA YING MASTER | 1.8% | 56.12 | 9 |
| 11 | 14 | WIND N GRASS | 1.5% | 65.40 | 10 |
| 12 | 6 | BLAZE WARRIOR | 1.5% | 65.78 | 2 |
| 13 | 3 | SILVER FIG | 1.4% | 72.85 | 12 |
| 14 | 7 | CLASSIC UNICORN | 0.7% | 142.61 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 58.5
PLACE
1 28.5
6 59.5
8 20.5
QUINELLA
6,8 588.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 329
1,8 104.5
6,8 178
FORECAST
8,6 1,251
TIERCE
8,6,1 8,063
TRIO
1,6,8 1,862
FIRST 4
1,4,6,8 1,091
QUARTET
8,6,1,4 35,758
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 19.5
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
3,9,11/1,6,8 694,056
9TH DOUBLE
3/6 262
3/8 387.5
SIX UP
6,9/6,7/2,3/1,7/3,9/6,8 1,700
9/7/2/1/3/8 181,033
2 [Z Purton] —
TREBLE
1/3/6 557
1/3/8 470