沙田 · 2022-02-27 · 17:13
第 9場
2022-02-27沙田第9場，Class 3，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、F C Lor訓練的SAUVESTRE勝出，贏出3/4。COMPASSION SPIRIT獲得亞軍；CALIFORNIA SKY獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.1倍大熱門RUNNING GLORY跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | SAUVESTRE 後段發力 TT 1.22.09 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 4 | 5.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 9 | COMPASSION SPIRIT 後段發力 B M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 11 | 63.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 11 | CALIFORNIA SKY TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 12 | 9.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 1 | SEATTLE CHOICE 後段發力 A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 2 | 46.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 6 | RUNNING GLORY 後段發力 J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 10 | 2.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 13 | PARTY EVERYDAY 後段發力 H/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 8 | 25.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 12 | PALACE PAL M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 6 | 32.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 8 | SEASONS BLISS B C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 13 | 11.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 4 | POWERFUL WINGS 後段發力 H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 5 | 86.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 5 | RACING FIGHTER B/TT L Ferraris · C H Yip | L Ferraris | C H Yip | 3 | 109.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 10 | HARMONY WIN WIN 早段領放 SR/XB K H Chan · D J Whyte | K H Chan | D J Whyte | 1 | 6.4 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 2 | REGENCY BO BO B/TT R Maia · C S Shum | R Maia | C S Shum | 7 | 20.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 13 | 14 | ANGELS HUNTER 後段發力 L Hewitson · P O'Sullivan | L Hewitson | P O'Sullivan | 14 | 87.0 | 11 |
| 14 | 7 | THE CROWN TT D Moor · C Fownes | D Moor | C Fownes | 9 | 67.0 | 15 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | RUNNING GLORY | 28.1% | 3.56 | 5 |
| 2 | 3 | SAUVESTRE | 21.0% | 4.76 | 1 |
| 3 | 8 | SEASONS BLISS | 11.8% | 8.49 | 8 |
| 4 | 10 | HARMONY WIN WIN | 9.9% | 10.07 | 11 |
| 5 | 13 | PARTY EVERYDAY | 7.3% | 13.64 | 6 |
| 6 | 11 | CALIFORNIA SKY | 6.5% | 15.40 | 3 |
| 7 | 9 | COMPASSION SPIRIT | 2.9% | 34.27 | 2 |
| 8 | 1 | SEATTLE CHOICE | 2.8% | 35.87 | 4 |
| 9 | 4 | POWERFUL WINGS | 2.7% | 37.57 | 9 |
| 10 | 2 | REGENCY BO BO | 2.5% | 39.40 | 12 |
| 11 | 12 | PALACE PAL | 1.5% | 68.90 | 7 |
| 12 | 7 | THE CROWN | 1.4% | 70.64 | 14 |
| 13 | 5 | RACING FIGHTER | 0.9% | 112.32 | 10 |
| 14 | 14 | ANGELS HUNTER | 0.7% | 137.37 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 50
PLACE
3 16.5
9 114
11 35.5
QUINELLA
3,9 1,215.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,9 286
3,11 89
9,11 575
FORECAST
3,9 2,376
TIERCE
3,9,11 15,194
TRIO
3,9,11 2,476
FIRST 4
1,3,9,11 21,876
QUARTET
3,9,11,1 440,654
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 15
8TH DOUBLE
1/3 99.5
1/9 281.5