沙田 · 2022-02-27 · 14:01
第 3場
2022-02-27沙田第3場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由C L Chau策騎、D J Hall訓練的EIGHT TRIGRAMS勝出，贏出HD。THUNDERSTRIKE獲得亞軍；FLYING DRAGON獲得季軍。1.9倍大熱門FIERY DIAMOND跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS B/TT 1.08.65 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C L Chau · D J Hall | C L Chau | D J Hall | 2 | 12.0 | HD |
| 2 | 8 | THUNDERSTRIKE B/H L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 9 | 19.0 | HD |
| 3 | 2 | FLYING DRAGON V Borges · C H Yip | V Borges | C H Yip | 4 | 5.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 1 | STAR OF YUEN LONG B/TT K Teetan · K L Man | K Teetan | K L Man | 6 | 11.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 5 | FIERY DIAMOND J Moreira · T P Yung | J Moreira | T P Yung | 1 | 1.9 | 3 |
| 6 | 11 | VAMOS B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 10 | 73.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 12 | ARES B H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 11 | 51.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 6 | ISLAND SHINE B K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 12 | 38.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 10 | HAPPY FAT CAT R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 5 | 10.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 4 | SERGEANT PEPPER Z Purton · Y S Tsui | Z Purton | Y S Tsui | 8 | 10.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 7 | AURORA HERO M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 95.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 12 | 9 | FLYING ON THE TURF B/XB A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 7 | 34.0 | 11-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | FIERY DIAMOND | 30.6% | 3.27 | 5 |
| 2 | 3 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS | 12.6% | 7.96 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | FLYING DRAGON | 12.3% | 8.11 | 3 |
| 4 | 1 | STAR OF YUEN LONG | 7.4% | 13.48 | 4 |
| 5 | 4 | SERGEANT PEPPER | 6.7% | 14.94 | 10 |
| 6 | 10 | HAPPY FAT CAT | 6.4% | 15.51 | 9 |
| 7 | 12 | ARES | 5.3% | 18.79 | 7 |
| 8 | 9 | FLYING ON THE TURF | 4.8% | 20.98 | 12 |
| 9 | 7 | AURORA HERO | 4.7% | 21.46 | 11 |
| 10 | 8 | THUNDERSTRIKE | 3.2% | 31.43 | 2 |
| 11 | 6 | ISLAND SHINE | 3.1% | 32.09 | 8 |
| 12 | 11 | VAMOS | 2.9% | 34.31 | 6 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 124.5
PLACE
2 16
3 30.5
8 42
QUINELLA
3,8 667
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 83
2,8 97
3,8 166
FORECAST
3,8 1,322
TIERCE
3,8,2 5,180
TRIO
2,3,8 904
FIRST 4
1,2,3,8 1,563
QUARTET
3,8,2,1 45,033
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE
12/3 850
12/8 293.5
3 PICK 1
A3 43.5
A1 —
A2 —