沙田 · 2022-02-27 · 15:36
第 6場
2022-02-27沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由K C Leung策騎、C H Yip訓練的TRUST ME勝出，贏出2。BRILLIANT WAY獲得亞軍；ELIGERE獲得季軍。1.7倍大熱門BRILLIANT WAY跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | TRUST ME B/H 1.09.42 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 1 | 11.0 | 2 |
| 2 | 6 | BRILLIANT WAY H1/P1/TT1 J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 4 | 1.7 | 2 |
| 3 | 2 | ELIGERE B K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 14 | 67.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 11 | CELESTIAL STEED TT1 M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 2 | 44.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 5 | 8 | HAPPY DAY TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 7 | 8.6 | 5 |
| 6 | 5 | LESLIE Z Purton · P F Yiu | Z Purton | P F Yiu | 9 | 5.5 | 5 |
| 7 | 14 | SWIFT SPIRIT B/TT R Maia · K L Man | R Maia | K L Man | 10 | 91.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 1 | MIRACLE VICTORY TT C L Chau · D A Hayes | C L Chau | D A Hayes | 5 | 7.8 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 13 | MEDIC ELITE L Hewitson · P O'Sullivan | L Hewitson | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 141.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 10 | 10 | CASA LEGEND CP/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 11 | 167.0 | 12-3/4 |
| 11 | 9 | CALIFORNIA VANES CP1/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 6 | 23.0 | 13-3/4 |
| 12 | 12 | MANY WINS B1 D Moor · K W Lui | D Moor | K W Lui | 8 | 144.0 | 15-1/2 |
| 13 | 4 | FORTUNE MARBO B1 M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 13 | 152.0 | 19-1/4 |
| 14 | 3 | GRACYLOVE B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 12 | 75.0 | ML |
| — | 0 | MOMENTUM GALAXY M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | BRILLIANT WAY | 27.9% | 3.58 | 2 |
| 2 | 5 | LESLIE | 23.5% | 4.25 | 6 |
| 3 | 1 | MIRACLE VICTORY | 9.7% | 10.30 | 8 |
| 4 | 7 | TRUST ME | 8.8% | 11.34 | 1 |
| 5 | 9 | CALIFORNIA VANES | 7.0% | 14.21 | 11 |
| 6 | 8 | HAPPY DAY | 6.3% | 15.80 | 5 |
| 7 | 11 | CELESTIAL STEED | 4.8% | 20.94 | 4 |
| 8 | 2 | ELIGERE | 3.1% | 32.34 | 3 |
| 9 | 10 | CASA LEGEND | 3.0% | 32.84 | 10 |
| 10 | 14 | SWIFT SPIRIT | 2.5% | 40.03 | 7 |
| 11 | 12 | MANY WINS | 1.5% | 66.86 | 12 |
| 12 | 3 | GRACYLOVE | 1.0% | 99.95 | 14 |
| 13 | 13 | MEDIC ELITE | 0.4% | 255.39 | 9 |
| 14 | 4 | FORTUNE MARBO | 0.4% | 281.80 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 112.5
PLACE
2 110.5
6 12
7 24
QUINELLA
6,7 82.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 181.5
2,7 459.5
6,7 33
FORECAST
7,6 378
TIERCE
7,6,2 7,997
TRIO
2,6,7 1,220
FIRST 4
2,6,7,11 5,863
QUARTET
7,6,2,11 160,510
全部彩池（另 3 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 30
5TH DOUBLE
9/6 15
9/7 614
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
4,8,12/4,6,9/Any Combination 48,850