沙田 · 2022-02-27 · 15:03
第 5場
2022-02-27沙田第5場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由K Teetan策騎、C S Shum訓練的LIGHTNING BOLT勝出，贏出1-1/4。EVERYONE'S VICTORY獲得亞軍；PRIVATE ROCKET獲得季軍。2.9倍大熱門EVERYONE'S VICTORY跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | LIGHTNING BOLT TT- 1.08.17 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 8 | 4.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 6 | EVERYONE'S VICTORY H/TT H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 3 | 2.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 4 | PRIVATE ROCKET CP-/XB/B2 D Moor · D J Whyte | D Moor | D J Whyte | 4 | 14.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 10 | QUADRUPLE DOUBLE TT M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 1 | 28.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 1 | CALIFORNIA CONCORD B/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 10 | 16.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 7 | MAGIC SUPREME CP/TT R Maia · K L Man | R Maia | K L Man | 6 | 13.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 12 | HANDSOME TWELVE B H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 9 | 24.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 5 | TRADER CP/TT C L Chau · D A Hayes | C L Chau | D A Hayes | 2 | 4.5 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 11 | PROSECCO A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 5 | 37.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 2 | SO WE JOY B-/H1/XB1/TT- L Hewitson · C W Chang | L Hewitson | C W Chang | 11 | 40.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 8 | WE ARE HERO M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 7 | 22.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 3 | FLYING BONUS P2 K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 12 | 33.0 | 30-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | LIGHTNING BOLT | 19.8% | 5.04 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | TRADER | 17.9% | 5.60 | 8 |
| 3 | 6 | EVERYONE'S VICTORY | 17.7% | 5.64 | 2 |
| 4 | 1 | CALIFORNIA CONCORD | 9.8% | 10.20 | 5 |
| 5 | 7 | MAGIC SUPREME | 7.2% | 13.93 | 6 |
| 6 | 8 | WE ARE HERO | 6.5% | 15.31 | 11 |
| 7 | 10 | QUADRUPLE DOUBLE | 5.0% | 19.80 | 4 |
| 8 | 4 | PRIVATE ROCKET | 4.4% | 22.63 | 3 |
| 9 | 12 | HANDSOME TWELVE | 4.2% | 23.63 | 7 |
| 10 | 3 | FLYING BONUS | 2.9% | 34.30 | 12 |
| 11 | 11 | PROSECCO | 2.9% | 34.71 | 9 |
| 12 | 2 | SO WE JOY | 1.6% | 64.27 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 41.5
PLACE
4 41
6 12.5
9 16
QUINELLA
6,9 66.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 83
4,9 102
6,9 29
FORECAST
9,6 140
TIERCE
9,6,4 1,172
TRIO
4,6,9 319
FIRST 4
4,6,9,10 1,225
QUARTET
9,6,4,10 14,053
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 17
A3 —
4TH DOUBLE
4/6 52.5
4/9 294.5