沙田 · 2022-03-12 · 17:48
第 10場
2022-03-12沙田第10場，Class 2，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由M Chadwick策騎、C S Shum訓練的WINNING METHOD勝出，贏出1/2。CAPTAIN WIN獲得亞軍；GOOD LUCK FRIEND獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.3倍大熱門THE GOLDEN SCENERY跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | WINNING METHOD 後段發力 TT 1.21.31 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 11 | 22.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 14 | CAPTAIN WIN 後段發力 B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 4 | 6.7 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 9 | GOOD LUCK FRIEND 早段領放 CP K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 10 | 27.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 8 | BEAUTY FIT 後段發力 B/E V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 1 | 7.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | MASTER MONTARO CP Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 2 | 5.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 3 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY 後段發力 TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 3 | 2.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 7 | 11 | E STAR 後段發力 TT K Teetan · K L Man | K Teetan | K L Man | 8 | 21.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 8 | 4 | CIRCUIT THREE 後段發力 B/TT M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 13 | 31.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 9 | 10 | IGNITING 後段發力 TT R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 12 | 84.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 10 | 13 | WIND N GRASS TT L Hewitson · C W Chang | L Hewitson | C W Chang | 5 | 141.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 12 | ROMAN TURBO SR A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 6 | 17.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 6 | BAND OF BROTHERS 後段發力 V A Hamelin · P O'Sullivan | A Hamelin | P O'Sullivan | 14 | 155.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 13 | 5 | HINCHINLOVE B/TT B Shinn · T P Yung | B Shinn | T P Yung | 7 | 18.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 14 | 1 | HIGHLAND FORTUNE H Bentley · K W Lui | H Bentley | K W Lui | 9 | 60.0 | 10-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY | 31.6% | 3.17 | 6 |
| 2 | 2 | MASTER MONTARO | 14.6% | 6.83 | 5 |
| 3 | 8 | BEAUTY FIT | 13.8% | 7.26 | 4 |
| 4 | 14 | CAPTAIN WIN | 13.7% | 7.28 | 2 |
| 5 | 7 | WINNING METHOD | 4.9% | 20.38 | 1 |
| 6 | 5 | HINCHINLOVE | 3.9% | 25.49 | 13 |
| 7 | 12 | ROMAN TURBO | 3.5% | 28.59 | 11 |
| 8 | 9 | GOOD LUCK FRIEND | 3.4% | 29.40 | 3 |
| 9 | 11 | E STAR | 2.7% | 37.28 | 7 |
| 10 | 4 | CIRCUIT THREE | 2.6% | 38.71 | 8 |
| 11 | 10 | IGNITING | 1.7% | 57.79 | 9 |
| 12 | 1 | HIGHLAND FORTUNE | 1.6% | 61.17 | 14 |
| 13 | 13 | WIND N GRASS | 1.0% | 103.87 | 10 |
| 14 | 6 | BAND OF BROTHERS | 1.0% | 105.08 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 220
PLACE
7 49
9 68
14 19
QUINELLA
7,14 674.5
QUINELLA PLACE
7,9 554
7,14 183.5
9,14 285.5
FORECAST
7,14 1,504
TIERCE
7,14,9 38,994
TRIO
7,9,14 3,690
FIRST 4
7,8,9,14 9,143
QUARTET
7,14,9,8 256,509
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 29.5
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,12>8,11/7,9,14 333,529
9TH DOUBLE
8,11/7 885
8,11/14 27
SIX UP
1,2/3,4/2,5/1,14/1,8,11/7,14 6,515
1/3/5/1/8,11/7 222,749
3 [K Teetan] —
TREBLE
1/8,11/7 3,254
1/8,11/14 111