Sha Tin · 2022-03-12 · 17:48
Race 10
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | WINNING METHOD Closed strongly TT 1.21.31 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 11 | 22.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | CAPTAIN WIN Closed strongly B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 4 | 6.7 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | GOOD LUCK FRIEND Led early CP K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 10 | 27.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | BEAUTY FIT Closed strongly B/E V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 1 | 7.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | MASTER MONTARO CP Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 2 | 5.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY Closed strongly TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 3 | 2.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | E STAR Closed strongly TT K Teetan · K L Man | K Teetan | K L Man | 8 | 21.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | CIRCUIT THREE Closed strongly B/TT M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 13 | 31.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | IGNITING Closed strongly TT R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 12 | 84.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | WIND N GRASS TT L Hewitson · C W Chang | L Hewitson | C W Chang | 5 | 141.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | ROMAN TURBO SR A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 6 | 17.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | BAND OF BROTHERS Closed strongly V A Hamelin · P O'Sullivan | A Hamelin | P O'Sullivan | 14 | 155.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 13 | 0 | HINCHINLOVE B/TT B Shinn · T P Yung | B Shinn | T P Yung | 7 | 18.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 14 | 0 | HIGHLAND FORTUNE H Bentley · K W Lui | H Bentley | K W Lui | 9 | 60.0 | 10-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2022-03-12 was Class 2 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. WINNING METHOD, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by C S Shum, won by 1/2, with CAPTAIN WIN second and GOOD LUCK FRIEND third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.3 favourite THE GOLDEN SCENERY finished 6th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY | 31.6% | 3.17 | 6 |
| 2 | 0 | MASTER MONTARO | 14.6% | 6.83 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | BEAUTY FIT | 13.8% | 7.26 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | CAPTAIN WIN | 13.7% | 7.28 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | WINNING METHOD | 4.9% | 20.38 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | HINCHINLOVE | 3.9% | 25.49 | 13 |
| 7 | 0 | ROMAN TURBO | 3.5% | 28.59 | 11 |
| 8 | 0 | GOOD LUCK FRIEND | 3.4% | 29.40 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | E STAR | 2.7% | 37.28 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | CIRCUIT THREE | 2.6% | 38.71 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | IGNITING | 1.7% | 57.79 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | HIGHLAND FORTUNE | 1.6% | 61.17 | 14 |
| 13 | 0 | WIND N GRASS | 1.0% | 103.87 | 10 |
| 14 | 0 | BAND OF BROTHERS | 1.0% | 105.08 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 220
PLACE
7 49
9 68
14 19
QUINELLA
7,14 674.5
QUINELLA PLACE
7,9 554
7,14 183.5
9,14 285.5
FORECAST
7,14 1,504
TIERCE
7,14,9 38,994
TRIO
7,9,14 3,690
FIRST 4
7,8,9,14 9,143
QUARTET
7,14,9,8 256,509
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 29.5
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,12>8,11/7,9,14 333,529
9TH DOUBLE
8,11/7 885
8,11/14 27
SIX UP
1,2/3,4/2,5/1,14/1,8,11/7,14 6,515
1/3/5/1/8,11/7 222,749
3 [K Teetan] —
TREBLE
1/8,11/7 3,254
1/8,11/14 111