Sha Tin · 2022-03-12 · 15:03
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BRILLIANT WAY Closed strongly H/P/TT 1.21.81 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 14 | 2.1 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | GENERAL WINNER Closed strongly CP1 K Teetan · K H Ting | K Teetan | K H Ting | 3 | 7.7 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | FANTASTIC SHOW Closed strongly B C Y Ho · Y S Tsui | C Y Ho | Y S Tsui | 7 | 25.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | ALL RICHES Led early CP1 K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 12 | 52.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | INFINITY WIN B-/TT B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 4 | 7.1 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | CASA LEGEND Closed strongly CP-/TT V Borges · C S Shum | V Borges | C S Shum | 6 | 206.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | PLIKCLONE Closed strongly Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 10 | 6.8 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | CELESTIAL WARRIOR Closed strongly TT H Bentley · K W Lui | H Bentley | K W Lui | 5 | 40.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | CHIU CHOW BROTHER B A Badel · T P Yung | A Badel | T P Yung | 2 | 7.3 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | REACH GOAL Closed strongly TT1 R Maia · R Gibson | R Maia | R Gibson | 8 | 75.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | CIRCUIT SPIRITANTO M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 1 | 30.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | AMAZING NEWS XB M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 9 | 75.0 | 6 |
| 13 | 0 | VALIANT FORTUNE TT1 L Hewitson · C H Yip | L Hewitson | C H Yip | 13 | 209.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 14 | 0 | BAEBAE TSOI CP/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 11 | 29.0 | 12-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2022-03-12 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. BRILLIANT WAY, ridden by J Moreira and trained by J Size, won by 3/4, with GENERAL WINNER second and FANTASTIC SHOW third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.1 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BRILLIANT WAY | 40.3% | 2.48 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | GENERAL WINNER | 14.7% | 6.82 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | INFINITY WIN | 8.8% | 11.32 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | PLIKCLONE | 8.4% | 11.87 | 7 |
| 5 | 0 | CHIU CHOW BROTHER | 6.7% | 15.01 | 9 |
| 6 | 0 | REACH GOAL | 4.6% | 21.93 | 10 |
| 7 | 0 | BAEBAE TSOI | 4.0% | 24.78 | 14 |
| 8 | 0 | AMAZING NEWS | 3.9% | 25.43 | 12 |
| 9 | 0 | FANTASTIC SHOW | 2.3% | 44.26 | 3 |
| 10 | 0 | CIRCUIT SPIRITANTO | 1.9% | 53.91 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | CELESTIAL WARRIOR | 1.8% | 55.00 | 8 |
| 12 | 0 | CASA LEGEND | 1.5% | 68.52 | 6 |
| 13 | 0 | VALIANT FORTUNE | 0.6% | 160.72 | 13 |
| 14 | 0 | ALL RICHES | 0.6% | 168.20 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 21
PLACE
1 13
2 20
8 55.5
QUINELLA
1,2 78.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 33
1,8 141
2,8 187.5
FORECAST
1,2 104
TIERCE
1,2,8 1,824
TRIO
1,2,8 624
FIRST 4
1,2,7,8 3,778
QUARTET
1,2,8,7 29,535
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 16.5
4TH DOUBLE
8/1 665
8/2 198