Sha Tin · 2022-03-12 · 16:06
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2022-03-12 was Class 1 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. SIGHT SUCCESS, ridden by K Teetan and trained by J Size, won by N, with SUPER WEALTHY second and MASTER EIGHT third. The 2.2 favourite MASTER EIGHT finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SIGHT SUCCESS E 1.07.78 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 8 | 10.0 | N |
| 2 | 2 | SUPER WEALTHY H2 B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 1 | 6.0 | N |
| 3 | 8 | MASTER EIGHT J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 4 | 2.2 | N |
| 4 | 3 | LUCKY EXPRESS E/B1/TT V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 5 | 17.0 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 4 | COMPUTER PATCH TT A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 6 | 23.0 | 3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | TRILLION WIN CP A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 7 | 7.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 10 | VOYAGE WARRIOR B- M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 9 | 37.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 1 | HOT KING PRAWN Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 10 | 9.4 | 3 |
| 9 | 7 | DUKE WAI B/H M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 2 | 9.1 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 6 | BUDDIES H H T Mo · A S Cruz | H T Mo | A S Cruz | 3 | 92.0 | 10-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | MASTER EIGHT | 47.3% | 2.11 | 3 |
| 2 | 9 | TRILLION WIN | 10.0% | 10.02 | 6 |
| 3 | 1 | HOT KING PRAWN | 9.9% | 10.14 | 8 |
| 4 | 5 | SIGHT SUCCESS | 8.7% | 11.53 | 1 |
| 5 | 7 | DUKE WAI | 7.5% | 13.41 | 9 |
| 6 | 3 | LUCKY EXPRESS | 5.1% | 19.48 | 4 |
| 7 | 2 | SUPER WEALTHY | 4.6% | 21.94 | 2 |
| 8 | 10 | VOYAGE WARRIOR | 4.2% | 23.72 | 7 |
| 9 | 4 | COMPUTER PATCH | 1.8% | 54.55 | 5 |
| 10 | 6 | BUDDIES | 1.0% | 101.40 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 105
PLACE
2 20
5 31.5
8 11.5
QUINELLA
2,5 378
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 107.5
2,8 31.5
5,8 52
FORECAST
5,2 800
TIERCE
5,2,8 3,097
TRIO
2,5,8 291
FIRST 4
2,3,5,8 784
QUARTET
5,2,8,3 26,075
All pools (3 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
3,4,12/2,5,8 59,402
3 PICK 1
A3 34
A2 —
A1 —
6TH DOUBLE
3/2 56.5
3/5 650