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Sha Tin · 2022-03-12 · 13:30

Race 2

Class 5 GOOD 1400m Course C+3 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.22.94
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 TEAM GOODLUCK Closed strongly CP/TT 1.22.94 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · W Y So 9 14.0 SH
2 0 APEX TOP B L Hewitson · A T Millard 11 10.0 SH
3 0 SEIZE THE SPIRIT Closed strongly Z Purton · Y S Tsui 3 3.7 3/4
4 0 BRAVE POWER Closed strongly B/TT H T Mo · A S Cruz 14 30.0 1-1/2
5 0 DESTIN Closed strongly B C Y Ho · P O'Sullivan 12 22.0 1-1/2
6 0 KUNG FU TEA Closed strongly B2 L Ferraris · D J Hall 13 21.0 1-1/2
7 0 NOBLE MAN Led early B/TT M F Poon · K L Man 5 13.0 1-3/4
8 0 MISSION SMART Closed strongly H-/B K C Leung · F C Lor 6 12.0 2-1/2
9 0 ZACIAN J Moreira · C S Shum 8 17.0 2-3/4
10 0 KWAI CHUNG ELITE B R Maia · K H Ting 7 41.0 5-1/2
11 0 SUPER KIN TT A Badel · C Fownes 2 7.0 6-1/4
12 0 VICTORIOUS LEADER H Bentley · C H Yip 1 7.1 7-1/4
13 0 FORTUNE MASTER B V Borges · K W Lui 4 41.0 11-3/4
14 0 SUNNY BABY CP- B Shinn · D A Hayes 10 8.9 12-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2022-03-12 was Class 5 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. TEAM GOODLUCK, ridden by K Teetan and trained by W Y So, won by SH, with APEX TOP second and SEIZE THE SPIRIT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.7 favourite SEIZE THE SPIRIT finished 3rd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. TEAM GOODLUCK—2. APEX TOP+0.1L3. SEIZE THE SPIRIT+0.75L4. BRAVE POWER+1.5L5. DESTIN+1.5L6. KUNG FU TEA+1.5L7. NOBLE MAN+1.75L8. MISSION SMART+2.5L9. ZACIAN+2.75L10. KWAI CHUNG ELITE+5.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick SEIZE THE SPIRIT (19.8%) finished 3rd — the winner TEAM GOODLUCK was rated #7. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 SEIZE THE SPIRIT 19.8% 5.05 3
2 0 ZACIAN 16.3% 6.14 9
3 0 SUPER KIN 9.8% 10.18 11
4 0 MISSION SMART 9.3% 10.73 8
5 0 VICTORIOUS LEADER 8.9% 11.28 12
6 0 SUNNY BABY 8.7% 11.50 14
7 0 TEAM GOODLUCK 6.6% 15.21 1
8 0 DESTIN 4.2% 24.09 5
9 0 KWAI CHUNG ELITE 3.7% 26.98 10
10 0 BRAVE POWER 3.5% 28.68 4
11 0 NOBLE MAN 3.1% 32.39 7
12 0 KUNG FU TEA 2.6% 38.77 6
13 0 APEX TOP 2.2% 46.20 2
14 0 FORTUNE MASTER 1.5% 68.07 13
SEIZE THE SPIRITZACIANSUPER KINMISSION SMARTVICTORIOUS LEADERSUNNY BABYTEAM GOODLUCK — wonDESTINKWAI CHUNG ELITEBRAVE POWERNOBLE MANKUNG FU TEAAPEX TOPFORTUNE MASTER

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 146

PLACE

2 36

4 15

5 49

QUINELLA

2,5 788.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,4 85

2,5 255.5

4,5 133

FORECAST

5,2 1,895

TIERCE

5,2,4 10,726

TRIO

2,4,5 1,065

FIRST 4

2,4,5,7 9,694

QUARTET

5,2,4,7 225,672

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE

4/2 170

4/5 1,499

3 PICK 1

A1 —

A3 —

A2 50