Sha Tin · 2022-03-12 · 13:30
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2022-03-12 was Class 5 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. TEAM GOODLUCK, ridden by K Teetan and trained by W Y So, won by SH, with APEX TOP second and SEIZE THE SPIRIT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.7 favourite SEIZE THE SPIRIT finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | TEAM GOODLUCK Closed strongly CP/TT 1.22.94 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 9 | 14.0 | SH |
| 2 | 2 | APEX TOP B L Hewitson · A T Millard | L Hewitson | A T Millard | 11 | 10.0 | SH |
| 3 | 4 | SEIZE THE SPIRIT Closed strongly Z Purton · Y S Tsui | Z Purton | Y S Tsui | 3 | 3.7 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 7 | BRAVE POWER Closed strongly B/TT H T Mo · A S Cruz | H T Mo | A S Cruz | 14 | 30.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 3 | DESTIN Closed strongly B C Y Ho · P O'Sullivan | C Y Ho | P O'Sullivan | 12 | 22.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 1 | KUNG FU TEA Closed strongly B2 L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 13 | 21.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 14 | NOBLE MAN Led early B/TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 5 | 13.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 8 | 8 | MISSION SMART Closed strongly H-/B K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 6 | 12.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 11 | ZACIAN J Moreira · C S Shum | J Moreira | C S Shum | 8 | 17.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 10 | 13 | KWAI CHUNG ELITE B R Maia · K H Ting | R Maia | K H Ting | 7 | 41.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 10 | SUPER KIN TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 2 | 7.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 12 | VICTORIOUS LEADER H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 1 | 7.1 | 7-1/4 |
| 13 | 6 | FORTUNE MASTER B V Borges · K W Lui | V Borges | K W Lui | 4 | 41.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 14 | 9 | SUNNY BABY CP- B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 10 | 8.9 | 12-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | SEIZE THE SPIRIT | 19.8% | 5.05 | 3 |
| 2 | 11 | ZACIAN | 16.3% | 6.14 | 9 |
| 3 | 10 | SUPER KIN | 9.8% | 10.18 | 11 |
| 4 | 8 | MISSION SMART | 9.3% | 10.73 | 8 |
| 5 | 12 | VICTORIOUS LEADER | 8.9% | 11.28 | 12 |
| 6 | 9 | SUNNY BABY | 8.7% | 11.50 | 14 |
| 7 | 5 | TEAM GOODLUCK | 6.6% | 15.21 | 1 |
| 8 | 3 | DESTIN | 4.2% | 24.09 | 5 |
| 9 | 13 | KWAI CHUNG ELITE | 3.7% | 26.98 | 10 |
| 10 | 7 | BRAVE POWER | 3.5% | 28.68 | 4 |
| 11 | 14 | NOBLE MAN | 3.1% | 32.39 | 7 |
| 12 | 1 | KUNG FU TEA | 2.6% | 38.77 | 6 |
| 13 | 2 | APEX TOP | 2.2% | 46.20 | 2 |
| 14 | 6 | FORTUNE MASTER | 1.5% | 68.07 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 146
PLACE
2 36
4 15
5 49
QUINELLA
2,5 788.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 85
2,5 255.5
4,5 133
FORECAST
5,2 1,895
TIERCE
5,2,4 10,726
TRIO
2,4,5 1,065
FIRST 4
2,4,5,7 9,694
QUARTET
5,2,4,7 225,672
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
4/2 170
4/5 1,499
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 50