Sha Tin · 2022-03-12 · 13:01
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CHAMPION'S WAY Closed strongly P/TT 1.33.98 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 3 | 6.3 | N |
| 2 | 0 | CHEERFUL DAYS Closed strongly B A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 5 | 2.5 | N |
| 3 | 0 | KA YING STAR V/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 1 | 4.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | HEALTHY HAPPY Led early V/TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 6 | 19.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | EXCELLENT PROPOSAL E/B1 J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 2 | 3.1 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | SAVVY NINE B/XB B Shinn · D J Whyte | B Shinn | D J Whyte | 4 | 12.0 | 3 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2022-03-12 was Class 1 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. CHAMPION'S WAY, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Size, won by N, with CHEERFUL DAYS second and KA YING STAR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.5 favourite CHEERFUL DAYS finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | EXCELLENT PROPOSAL | 28.8% | 3.47 | 5 |
| 2 | 0 | SAVVY NINE | 19.1% | 5.23 | 6 |
| 3 | 0 | CHAMPION'S WAY | 17.7% | 5.64 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | CHEERFUL DAYS | 16.9% | 5.92 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | HEALTHY HAPPY | 9.6% | 10.44 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | KA YING STAR | 7.9% | 12.72 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 63.5
PLACE
4 26.5
6 16.5
QUINELLA
4,6 91.5
FORECAST
4,6 224
TIERCE
4,6,1 923
TRIO
1,4,6 126
FIRST 4
1,2,4,6 196
QUARTET
4,6,1,2 4,221