Sha Tin · 2022-03-12 · 17:13
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2022-03-12 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. SUPER FORTUNE, ridden by K Teetan and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1/2, with FIVE ELEMENTS second and WAR OF COURAGE third. Victory came as the 2.0 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | SUPER FORTUNE TT 1.08.42 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 2 | 2.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 1 | FIVE ELEMENTS V-/B1 B Shinn · F C Lor | B Shinn | F C Lor | 7 | 16.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 12 | WAR OF COURAGE B K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 3 | 7.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 7 | RIGHT HONOURABLE H/PC/TT R Maia · R Gibson | R Maia | R Gibson | 12 | 52.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | DOUBLE SIX POP J Moreira · A T Millard | J Moreira | A T Millard | 9 | 10.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 5 | OUR LUCKY GLORY SR L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 10 | 39.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 2 | GALLANT EXPRESS E/P A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 5 | 6.8 | 6-1/2 |
| 8 | 10 | MIGHTY VALOR V L Hewitson · P F Yiu | L Hewitson | P F Yiu | 6 | 37.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 4 | COMING PATCH H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 1 | 41.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 3 | BEAUTY CHAMP XB/TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 11 | 56.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 6 | WAR WEAPON B1/TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 4 | 6.1 | 13-1/4 |
| — | 11 | PHOENIX LIGHT V Borges · C H Yip | V Borges | C H Yip | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | SUPER FORTUNE | 30.3% | 3.30 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | GALLANT EXPRESS | 14.5% | 6.89 | 7 |
| 3 | 9 | DOUBLE SIX POP | 11.4% | 8.78 | 5 |
| 4 | 6 | WAR WEAPON | 9.7% | 10.33 | 11 |
| 5 | 1 | FIVE ELEMENTS | 8.1% | 12.35 | 2 |
| 6 | 12 | WAR OF COURAGE | 6.7% | 14.95 | 3 |
| 7 | 5 | OUR LUCKY GLORY | 5.2% | 19.38 | 6 |
| 8 | 3 | BEAUTY CHAMP | 5.1% | 19.50 | 10 |
| 9 | 4 | COMING PATCH | 4.8% | 20.67 | 9 |
| 10 | 7 | RIGHT HONOURABLE | 3.1% | 32.31 | 4 |
| 11 | 10 | MIGHTY VALOR | 1.1% | 87.92 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 20
PLACE
1 44.5
8 10.5
12 22
QUINELLA
1,8 157.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 63
1,12 136.5
8,12 29.5
FORECAST
8,1 273
TIERCE
8,1,12 1,015
TRIO
1,8,12 246
FIRST 4
1,7,8,12 2,020
QUARTET
8,1,12,7 21,366
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 15
8TH DOUBLE
1/1 112
1/8,11 73.5