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Sha Tin · 2022-03-12 · 16:38

Race 8

Class 3 GOOD 1400m Course C+3 14 runners

Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2022-03-12 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. COPARTNER AMBITION, ridden by Z Purton and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1-1/4, with RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE second and HARMONY WIN WIN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.0 favourite.

Result

Official · 1.21.28
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 1 COPARTNER AMBITION Closed strongly CP/TT 1.21.28 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · A S Cruz 14 3.0 1-1/4
2 14 RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE Closed strongly B/XB M L Yeung · C W Chang 10 94.0 1-1/4
3 11 HARMONY WIN WIN Closed strongly SR/XB L Ferraris · D J Whyte 4 26.0 2-1/4
4 2 DECRYPT Closed strongly TT A Hamelin · D A Hayes 13 78.0 2-1/2
5 6 POWERFUL WINGS Closed strongly C Y Ho · P F Yiu 6 21.0 3-1/2
6 8 PERFECT PAIR Closed strongly SR H Bentley · K H Ting 8 8.8 3-3/4
7 13 OSCAR GLORY CP M Chadwick · F C Lor 7 4.7 4
8 4 SUPER WINNER TT L Hewitson · C H Yip 9 23.0 4-1/2
9 10 BEAUTY NOVA P1 V Borges · J Size 5 72.0 5-1/4
10 5 AMAZING CHOCOLATE Closed strongly B C Wong · T P Yung 12 60.0 5-1/2
11 12 REVE PARISIEN Led early B Shinn · P O'Sullivan 3 134.0 6-1/4
12 3 EXCELLENT DADDY CP1/TT K Teetan · T P Yung 2 11.0 12-1/4
13 7 GOLD MARQUIS TT J Moreira · C Fownes 11 3.6 12-3/4
14 9 SKYEY SUPREME B/TT M F Poon · K W Lui 1 85.0 15-3/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. COPARTNER AMBITION2. RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE+1.25L3. HARMONY WIN WIN+2.25L4. DECRYPT+2.5L5. POWERFUL WINGS+3.5L6. PERFECT PAIR+3.75L7. OSCAR GLORY+4L8. SUPER WINNER+4.5L9. BEAUTY NOVA+5.25L10. AMAZING CHOCOLATE+5.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick COPARTNER AMBITION (18.7%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 COPARTNER AMBITION 18.7% 5.35 1
2 7 GOLD MARQUIS 18.5% 5.41 13
3 13 OSCAR GLORY 13.5% 7.39 7
4 9 SKYEY SUPREME 12.1% 8.24 14
5 3 EXCELLENT DADDY 9.9% 10.09 12
6 8 PERFECT PAIR 7.2% 13.93 6
7 4 SUPER WINNER 3.9% 25.49 8
8 14 RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE 3.7% 26.79 2
9 5 AMAZING CHOCOLATE 2.9% 34.64 10
10 11 HARMONY WIN WIN 2.8% 35.50 3
11 10 BEAUTY NOVA 2.0% 50.41 9
12 6 POWERFUL WINGS 2.0% 51.02 5
13 12 REVE PARISIEN 1.4% 71.78 11
14 2 DECRYPT 1.4% 72.01 4
COPARTNER AMBITION — wonGOLD MARQUISOSCAR GLORYSKYEY SUPREMEEXCELLENT DADDYPERFECT PAIRSUPER WINNERRIGHTEOUS DOCTRINEAMAZING CHOCOLATEHARMONY WIN WINBEAUTY NOVAPOWERFUL WINGSREVE PARISIENDECRYPT

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 30.5

PLACE

1 14

11 62

14 155

QUINELLA

1,14 1,267

QUINELLA PLACE

1,11 147

1,14 355.5

11,14 1,950

FORECAST

1,14 2,925

TIERCE

1,14,11 28,935

TRIO

1,11,14 6,064

FIRST 4

1,2,11,14 80,863

QUARTET

1,14,11,2 1,014,965

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A3

A1 22.5

A2

7TH DOUBLE

5/1 388.5

5/14 1,787.5