Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2022-03-12 · 14:01

Race 3

Class 3 GOOD 1000m Course C+3 10 runners

Result

Official · 0.56.04
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 ALCARI 0.56.04 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · P F Yiu 7 6.8 N
2 0 WHIZZ KID B/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz 4 1.6 N
3 0 PROUD DRAGON A Badel · C Fownes 6 10.0 3/4
4 0 RESOLUTE B H T Mo · A T Millard 10 52.0 3-1/2
5 0 UNITED WE STAND B/TT M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan 11 12.0 5
6 0 LYRICAL MOTION TT H W Lai · W Y So 8 25.0 5
7 0 CALL ME TEDDY H Bentley · C W Chang 3 34.0 5-1/2
8 0 KING LAND Z Purton · T P Yung 12 10.0 5-3/4
9 0 HURRY HURRY GAIN CP- C Y Ho · F C Lor 2 84.0 5-3/4
12 0 BIG HAPPINESS M L Yeung · K H Ting 9 98.0 9-1/4
— 0 RISING FROM ASHES H/TT M F Poon · K W Lui — 51.0 6-3/4
— 0 HARMONY FIRE XB/H1/CP2/TT B Shinn · D J Whyte — 15.0 7

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2022-03-12 was Class 3 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. ALCARI, ridden by K Teetan and trained by P F Yiu, won by N, with WHIZZ KID second and PROUD DRAGON third. The 1.6 favourite WHIZZ KID finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. ALCARI—2. WHIZZ KID+0.05L3. PROUD DRAGON+0.75L4. RESOLUTE+3.5L5. UNITED WE STAND+5L6. LYRICAL MOTION+5L7. CALL ME TEDDY+5.5L8. KING LAND+5.75L9. HURRY HURRY GAIN+5.75L12. BIG HAPPINESS+9.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick WHIZZ KID (42.6%) finished 2nd — the winner ALCARI was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 WHIZZ KID 42.6% 2.35 2
2 0 KING LAND 20.6% 4.86 8
3 0 ALCARI 9.5% 10.50 1
4 0 HARMONY FIRE 8.9% 11.27 —
5 0 PROUD DRAGON 4.7% 21.21 3
6 0 UNITED WE STAND 3.1% 31.95 5
7 0 HURRY HURRY GAIN 2.6% 39.19 9
8 0 CALL ME TEDDY 2.0% 50.39 7
9 0 LYRICAL MOTION 1.6% 62.21 6
10 0 RESOLUTE 1.5% 66.48 4
11 0 BIG HAPPINESS 1.5% 66.97 12
12 0 RISING FROM ASHES 1.4% 70.07 —
WHIZZ KIDKING LANDALCARI — wonHARMONY FIREPROUD DRAGONUNITED WE STANDHURRY HURRY GAINCALL ME TEDDYLYRICAL MOTIONRESOLUTEBIG HAPPINESSRISING FROM ASHES

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 68

PLACE

3 15

5 12.5

11 24.5

QUINELLA

3,5 49

QUINELLA PLACE

3,5 22.5

3,11 88.5

5,11 35

FORECAST

3,5 122

TIERCE

3,5,11 1,081

TRIO

3,5,11 183

FIRST 4

3,4,5,11 1,033

QUARTET

3,5,11,4 16,375

All pools (2 more)

2ND DOUBLE

5/3 1,191

5/5 76.5

3 PICK 1

A1 —

A2 32

A3 —