沙田 · 2022-03-12 · 14:01
第 3場
2022-03-12沙田第3場，Class 3，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由K Teetan策騎、P F Yiu訓練的ALCARI勝出，贏出N。WHIZZ KID獲得亞軍；PROUD DRAGON獲得季軍。1.6倍大熱門WHIZZ KID跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | ALCARI 0.56.04 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 7 | 6.8 | N |
| 2 | 5 | WHIZZ KID B/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 4 | 1.6 | N |
| 3 | 11 | PROUD DRAGON A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 6 | 10.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 4 | RESOLUTE B H T Mo · A T Millard | H T Mo | A T Millard | 10 | 52.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 10 | UNITED WE STAND B/TT M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 11 | 12.0 | 5 |
| 6 | 9 | LYRICAL MOTION TT H W Lai · W Y So | H W Lai | W Y So | 8 | 25.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 6 | CALL ME TEDDY H Bentley · C W Chang | H Bentley | C W Chang | 3 | 34.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 1 | KING LAND Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 12 | 10.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 8 | HURRY HURRY GAIN CP- C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 2 | 84.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 7 | RISING FROM ASHES H/TT M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 5 | 51.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 2 | HARMONY FIRE XB/H1/CP2/TT B Shinn · D J Whyte | B Shinn | D J Whyte | 1 | 15.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 12 | BIG HAPPINESS M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 9 | 98.0 | 9-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | WHIZZ KID | 42.6% | 2.35 | 2 |
| 2 | 1 | KING LAND | 20.6% | 4.86 | 8 |
| 3 | 3 | ALCARI | 9.5% | 10.50 | 1 |
| 4 | 2 | HARMONY FIRE | 8.9% | 11.27 | 11 |
| 5 | 11 | PROUD DRAGON | 4.7% | 21.21 | 3 |
| 6 | 10 | UNITED WE STAND | 3.1% | 31.95 | 5 |
| 7 | 8 | HURRY HURRY GAIN | 2.6% | 39.19 | 9 |
| 8 | 6 | CALL ME TEDDY | 2.0% | 50.39 | 7 |
| 9 | 9 | LYRICAL MOTION | 1.6% | 62.21 | 6 |
| 10 | 4 | RESOLUTE | 1.5% | 66.48 | 4 |
| 11 | 12 | BIG HAPPINESS | 1.5% | 66.97 | 12 |
| 12 | 7 | RISING FROM ASHES | 1.4% | 70.07 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 68
PLACE
3 15
5 12.5
11 24.5
QUINELLA
3,5 49
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 22.5
3,11 88.5
5,11 35
FORECAST
3,5 122
TIERCE
3,5,11 1,081
TRIO
3,5,11 183
FIRST 4
3,4,5,11 1,033
QUARTET
3,5,11,4 16,375
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE
5/3 1,191
5/5 76.5
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 32
A1 —